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Pattern January Joke

hr 216-300 is so loaded with opportunity it's insane.

In broad terms, it seems like very good agreement and on one or two West to East moving storms with cold air in place and lots of high pressure to the north. These setups are springing up all over the place on all the models and means in this timeframe.
 

I really like your first post for next week (TPV south of Hudson Bay?!).....not sure I really like the second one though. But that's way out there and will change. Looks identical to early December; cold, but an Alaskan trough and a clipper fest for the NE. That's my fly in the ointment there.
 
I really like your first post for next week (TPV south of Hudson Bay?!).....not sure I really like the second one though. But that's way out there and will change. Looks identical to early December; cold, but an Alaskan trough and a clipper fest for the NE. That's my fly in the ointment there.
Oh yeh, the second one has a dry cold like @LukeBarrette mentioned. But we can trend that better. PLENTY of time for that.
 
They both look like cutters, but maybe we can -NAO bully them into a Miller B transfer CAD ice storm.
Pattern favors more of sliders and not cutters, but maybe we are saying the same thing haha. I bet this pattern finishes out with a miller B storm before the brief warm up in early Feb as many have discussed. The thing I like most about the upcoming pattern is that we actually have high pressure systems in place (@Jimmy Hypocracy approved) and not lake lows being little annoying b-words.
 
That period around 24-28th is trying to tell us something...

5 day snow mean with 2-6" across NC-VA.

View attachment 184254
Very much a nice indication of major icing where you see that drastic cut off of snow amounts. More than likely going to be dealing with a messy system that has all the whistles and gadgets. Super fun for local Mets I’m sure
 
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Tons of energy moving east with a massive high pressure moving in. Somebody gonna get lot of ice or snow on happy hour run!


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This looks like it has mega-boom potential to me. Also wide goal posts with the blocked up Atlantic. Amazing how consistent this threat period has been staying too.

View attachment 184345
I’m so pissed off I will take the ice storm at this point. Been a while since we had to wishcast on soundings and pray for sleet to save our pine trees
 
This looks like it has mega-boom potential to me. Also wide goal posts with the blocked up Atlantic. Amazing how consistent this threat period has been staying too.

View attachment 184345

This is completely different than this weekend. Substantial -NAO, southern energy and high pressure to the north. Not quite there I think for the new thread timeframe. But it’s so early who knows.

But yeah pretty pink and purples in the eps ensembles this time frame. ❄️
 
This is completely different than this weekend. Substantial -NAO, southern energy and high pressure to the north. Not quite there I think for the new thread timeframe. But it’s so early who knows.

But yeah pretty pink and purples in the eps ensembles this time frame.
I completely agree. Could be the "big one!" The parameters you look for are there. Just need the timing to be right. Lots of cold air, though!

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