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Pattern January Joke
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Makeitsnow
Member
15.8 here. Quite a bit colder than advertised
That ICON map I posted would probably verify. Drought begets drought.
Stormlover
Member
LittleMountain
Member
Things feel so bleak for the foothills of WNC and the upstate. We see the mountains snow fairly regularly, we’ve missed snow to our east 3 years in a row. It’s a rough drought we’re in right now.
NCSNOW
Member
Boys. Thursday into Friday is the next real deal" GFS and Canadian both at12z Have hits, Just like we saw off the AI models at 6Z
24 hr accum off Canadian
24 hr accum off Canadian
Agreed but we're about to hit a good spot with MJO in phase 7-8 and plenty of cold air to our North with a transition to el-nino next month. 93 had no snow until the blizzard. We have plenty of time left. All it takes is one good storm to hit average around here.
Only if the Euro shows it. Lol
That day 8 to 15 pattern 
NCSNOW
Member
Actually euro op tried last night / half heartedly. Im with you. Shows up some more, Ill go 5h digging tomorrow
broken025
Member
Definitely no shortage of opportunities showing up on the models past day 6 or so. Hopefully we don’t ---- this up too.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Based on this GEFS PNA prog, the Jan PNA is very likely going to end up a net+ once again after a -ENSO Dec -PNA, which has been the case every time since 1983-4. It will rise to ~0 MTD 1/20. With mainly +PNA from there to the EOM, this would end a net +:
I would argue that in this setup with the deep arctic air dumped into Canada and the northern US a less amped pattern might be what we need
tennessee storm
Member
Looks like western half of south and mid south regions stands good chance getting nailed end month , with upcoming pattern
Have to think that next weekend has decent enough potential to get more attention than it is around here. Probably some kind of miller b mess but take em if you got em
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
cough somthing somethin Dec 2018 cough
broken025
Member
This would keep the foothill people happy for a while
Sadly for us ATL folks, even though this system has shown up a ton now on both GFS and Euro, it never seems cold enough down into GA and all we get is rain. Hope it changes but… so far ATL is out of it.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
The 6z GEFS mean was impressive
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
We are going to need to see a bit better cold press out of the ensembles to get areas further south more firmly in the game. Still time!
I owuldn't s
I wouldn't sweat surface print outs just yet. Just as I am not assuming this trends north & west from mby. Plenty of time to sort those things out. We have a decent signal out there now consistently through several runs. That's the big take away.
The pattern for late January and early February looks stunning for someone living in southern Illinois. But also for the SE I could see a large scale winter storm setting up across the country around January 25-30
Lots of cold sprawled out across the country and an active southern stream .. yummy
More than likely a great pattern for winter weather in the upper south territories and CAD regions. But that’s how it normally goes anyway right?
Lots of cold sprawled out across the country and an active southern stream .. yummy
More than likely a great pattern for winter weather in the upper south territories and CAD regions. But that’s how it normally goes anyway right?
MLK day.. we will be locking in a timeframe again.