broken025
Member
Looks good. Should have additional opportunities to fail in the future.
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Pattern January Joke
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
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- Jan 23, 2021
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- Location
- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
I sincerely believe we're not done.
NCSNOW
Member
Fab Feb! You know the drill, I'm 1 degree away from coming back in here and starting all over again with ya lol.
What did yall do with my man Fro? Do we need t0 call Mecklenburg county and do a welfare check?
Yeah...it needs to be massaged some more...why I thought maybe once we get into Feb.
Some semblance of a STJ would help so much.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
You know that will trend west... has all season.
It ain't west here.
The axis is west but the broad, mountainous base with no southern stream is not west. That's been a big part of our bugaboo.
My life is going to be so much simpler now that I can just ride the Euro AI and watch it lock in
Somewhat has the look of January 2011.
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Bairly above freezing at 2pm this afternoon. 34 degrees under full sun. Very cold!
Yeah maybe the East Pac Low can send some waviness thru the weaker western ridging here near month end and get some systems running a bit more west to east instead of NNW to SSE over a tall western ridge. Jet is nice and extended here, albeit a touch poleward. No tropical forcing issues seen. Just gotta ride with what we got and hope we get episodic high pressure to our N / NW and try to time it out with a wave / stormEPS AI looks more wet/active week 2 in a workable pattern....
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rburrel2
Member
One of the best extended snow means of the year that it's showed, I believe
That looks clipperish grit. Not really a southern storm but heck what do I know.
0.1 beats 0! I think
NCSNOW
Member
Big storm signal from GFS Op and Euro Op Day 9-10 Jan 25th. Looks like a front pushes down and as it's sinking south, several LPs ride along as we get a big Artic push. Probably trend to big Ice Cad areas, with snow on backside. Buries state of VA in snow right now.
SnowNiner
Member
That split flow really looks good to me, with with the flow south of us. The snow mean is crazy good this far out as well. With high pressure constantly to our north in this set up perhaps our goalposts are a little wider than usual to close the month. Completely different than this weekend's sadness.
The AK sea low does remind me of early December though where waves kept cutting the western ridge down, sending the cold and the storms to our NE. Never quite getting south enough. Hope we don't have a repeat of that, and like you said perhaps some southern vorts push through the ridge. That's quite a split flow shown verbatim.
SnowNiner
Member
EPS AI looks more wet/active week 2 in a workable pattern....
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Look at all that moisture modeled in the SE, wow! With that much blocking up top it's no wonder the snow mean is so high.
I think this might be our next legitimate winter weather threat. It's a ways out but the ingredients might be there for a big event if conditions are right. We will have plenty of time to wait and see if anything materializes. Hopefully areas that miss out on Sunday's storm can cash in on this or something else down the road.
Cold today. 35 right now
It hasn't gotten above 7 degrees here today. With the wind, it's a tad chilly.
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- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
Notable cold trend on the EPS over the last 24 hours. New one is the first one.
rburrel2
Member
This is a solid look.
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Here we go again boys .... this pattern looks a lot better than our current setup.
A bit of Nino-like split flow along the west coast with stream phasing here on the Euro AI at month end yields a storm that is on the northern side of things, but an interesting look overall
trackersacker
Member
Weeklies don’t look bad.
Cold end to January, brief break first week of February, then very interesting second and third week of February
Cold end to January, brief break first week of February, then very interesting second and third week of February
SnowNiner
Member
It’s the gfs, too soon. But yeah look at all that high pressure to the north. You love to see it.
With the last image there you’d think it would be bigger storm. Maybe more ice around clt. But I would be amazed to get 2 inches of snow right now though. So starved.
AJ1013
Member
Tonight will be the coldest of the winter thus far. The Iguanas won't be happy 
AJ1013
Member
Rather comically the NWS saw fit to issue a "cold weather advisory".
- Joined
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- 4,152
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- Location
- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
Look if we’re this cold it is literally just a matter of time
It’s quite a cold night in the SE! Here it’s down to 37 with gusty winds lingering to make it feel like it’s in the 20s. The forecasted low is low 20s, which would be the coldest of the winter so far beating two 25s in Dec. It would easily beat the coldest so far this month of 31.
WolfpackHomer91
Member
Idk how accurate it was but SUV said 28 at 6PM pretty chilly evening
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iGRXY
Member
I didn’t get about freezing today. High was 31.
rburrel2
Member
Take hr 282 to the bank and deposit it.
NCSNOW
Member
Messing around, I asked AI was it gonna snow sunday in Asheboro. It says better chance Asheboro sees snow jan 25th. Gave it a 60-70% chance. We shall see.
I’m learning to hate AI. I’m guilty of using it but I’ve grown to find it is a toxic echo chamber and it 100% can cause psychosis
Looks like a Brad P. tweet