rburrel2
Member
Myfro this morning when he wakes up and sees the overnight runs.
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[/URL]Fro said Ukie was running on bad dataMyfro this morning when he wakes up and sees the overnight runs.
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He better have grown some hair overnight
Looks like he’s gonna have to save it in the drafts folder.
Not on Mondays. Got adult ---- to doRage on a Monday morning? Sign me up! @tarheels2 You in?
I was down east 80-87 @ it wasnt that great. But late 80s into 93 in mtns. You are correct.Putrid outside 93 Blizzard. 96 was good. Then best run in my life was late 90s , cause of canes, into 2000-2004 . Jan 2000, Dec 2002, Feb 2004. Best wx period I expierenced hands down in NC, was late 90s - 2004. Canes and winter wx gallore. 70s where cool as a kid in mtns, but that period is in 2cnd place for me.Probably just as bad around here. I have vague memories of 89/93 but the first real winter storm i remember was 96 and being amazed about it.
Now that’s funny. He says it will be too cold for snow outside of the mountains.CJ ain’t buying. Ignoring last nights Ukie/Euro runs. Click bait Mets stepping aside. This gives us a chance to backdoor into something now.View attachment 182657
Yeah this is almost in Virginia. Of course it can snow there in February. You can’t compare the NC/VA border to most of the south.View attachment 182658
Just wanted to remind everyone that keeps saying February is a spring month now and can’t produce anymore that it did produce for some last year, even after hitting 80 degrees a couple times earlier in the month.
View attachment 182658
Just wanted to remind everyone that keeps saying February is a spring month now and can’t produce anymore that it did produce for some last year, even after hitting 80 degrees a couple times earlier in the month.
It’s amazing how many people depend on the TV Mets. I can’t tell you how many people showed up to work today talking about how it’s going to snow.
Not surprisingly, today’s GEFS mean prog has reduced the max amp of the phase 6-7 from the ~2.7 of two days ago to now being close to the Euro’s ~2.1 today (see below). But it retains the 17 day record breaking long winter phase 6.
Also, note that today’s GEFS turns it left as it approaches phase 8:
View attachment 182660
Yesterday’s ext GEFS didn’t turn as much:
View attachment 182662
This change should be respected based on the stats for the # of DJF MJO days by phase since 2011 showing that phases 6/7 were the two most frequent phases day by day and that phase 8’s days numbered only ~1/3 of that of phase 7, which is likely due to the strong W Pac warm pool (where phase 7 resides):
DJF:
1: 76
2: 96
3: 167
4: 173
5: 212
6: 249
7: 286
8: 95
Whether or not the MJO actually goes into phase 8 late this month and then proceed to 1-2-3 in the first half of Feb will probably play a big role as regards the chance for the +PNA to come right back (if it were to actually go back to a -PNA for ~a week just prior) and the resultant resumption of a cold E US as we look toward the 1st half of Feb. If it ends up not going into phase 8 in a meaningful way, the last 2 Euro Weeklies runs showing a mainly mild Feb would seem to have a better chance to verify. Let’s hope not for those who want it cold.
Too late. Vacuum initiated.Don’t get sucked in. It’ll get close enough to something good, then it will rug pull
Come on back. Let the endorphins flow with the good runs. You are missing hours of enjoyment...Don’t get sucked in. It’ll get close enough to something good, then it will rug pull
Don’t get sucked in. It’ll get close enough to something good, then it will rug pull
View attachment 182687
i mean ok cool look but the first storm got tanked because the northern lobe of the shortwave became the dominant feature and we're totally at risk of that happening here too