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Misc General Banter Thread

Drizzle Snizzle said:
This is last January in Georgia.

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Yeah, I would've said too difficult until that happened, now I think it's a case where you have to really get into the ice box and that kind of setup can easily break people's hearts that are not as deep in the south.

Not sure these maps are completely correct btw. The 1" should cover most of my county for storm #1 except for the far southern part, though my dad did imply that it snowed heavily for a brief period as far south as where I'm located (probably 0.25-0.5 down there and then around the airports it was about an inch). I "think" storm #2 is correct but the numbers are confusing me a little.
 
Drizzle Snizzle said:
This is last January in Georgia.

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Thanks for these maps. The 3” for my area matches my 2.9” well. But ~2.5” of it was sleet, which made it even more amazing! That along with continued cold gave it great staying power. It took ~5 days to melt! The 2018 mix was more snow than sleet and totaled ~2”, but it stuck ~as long despite a good bit less water content because temps were a good bit colder the days prior and it was a bit colder averaged out during the storm.
 
NBAcentel said:
The UKMET is certainly one of those thorns on the arse models you wouldn’t want showing a bad solution if we had something to track, it’s certainly interesting seeing it the other way around
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and the trend with ensemble support is pretty astounding. I don't know how many members it has and the perturbations used. Does the Mogreps always follow the op closely?
 
NBAcentel said:
The UKMET is certainly one of those thorns on the arse models you wouldn’t want showing a bad solution if we had something to track, it’s certainly interesting seeing it the other way around
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Yeah weird seeing it bite so hard on this one. So far ICON has been the one not to budge at all -- if we start seeing it move in this direction I'll be impressed.
 
Drizzle Snizzle said:
Yeah this is almost in Virginia. Of course it can snow there in February. You can’t compare the NC/VA border to most of the south.
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I live in Mooresville NC im probably 35 miles N of CLT and I got 1.5 out of that and im 55 miles from VA lol
RBR71 said:
Trolling in banter thread is still trolling. Kinda getting old
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Exactly dude lives in South GA. Climate is in no way similar to 90% of the board, that same bs he trolls with has us at worst just avg. It is just annoying bc a new lurker or something may see that and not understand who it is or where he is
 
WolfpackHomer91 said:
I live in Mooresville NC im probably 35 miles N of CLT and I got 1.5 out of that and im 55 miles from VA lol

Exactly dude lives in South GA. Climate is in no way similar to 90% of the board, that same bs he trolls with has us at worst just avg. It is just annoying bc a new lurker or something may see that and not understand who it is or where he is
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My average winter temps are only 5 degrees warmer than Atlanta. I’m not in Key West.
 
WolfpackHomer91 said:
I live in Mooresville NC im probably 35 miles N of CLT and I got 1.5 out of that and im 55 miles from VA lol

Exactly dude lives in South GA. Climate is in no way similar to 90% of the board, that same bs he trolls with has us at worst just avg. It is just annoying bc a new lurker or something may see that and not understand who it is or where he is
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Drizzle snizzle is a special member to this site. I did like the Dewy Dan phase better tho.
 
It is also hilarious to me how models are treated exactly like preseason AP votes in CFB or CBB. Yes..... the EURO ect is still probably the one you need on your side but I feel like it could lose ten straight and people would still rank it based off of first impressions and in this simili "Preseason AP Votes". It is like MIA in football prior to this year..... every year start at top 10-15 do nothing but then rattle off a few wins and shoot up in peoples minds. Meanwhile your GFS or Canadians of the world are unranked but start 10-0 and only make it to like 17 bc of first impressions and predetermined opinions
 
rburrel2 said:
I’d say more than half of our 2+ inch storms are completely lost in the 4-7 day timeframe. This one has that feel to me, just a slight adjustment and boom, widespread sig. snow.
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Last year leading up to both the Jan 10 and 21 storms, it basically disappeared off the ops on certain runs to cold and dry or trace amounts at about the same 4-6 day range. But then again, the ensemble means for both the GFS and Euro were consistently decent while this timeframe is not doing so well on there. Still got some time though and maybe the 12z suite from today starts a positive trend.
 
NCWeatherNow said:
I unironically trust the GFS more than the ukmet based on its history and the fact that this weekend will be a nw flow event, its not feasible to get several inches east of the WEST facing mountains with that setup.
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Tired Too Much GIF by slicedbread
 
rburrel2 said:
For better or worse... the GFS these days is like looking at nogaps or CFS for guidance. It's a joke model.

I look at it too, because it's fun, but it is absolutely not relevant in forecasting.
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Yeah, no doubt it has become a 3rd rate model. Why even run it? When you get to the timeframe where it becomes accurate, that is already within the range of all the high-resolution models. That makes it essentially worthless.
 
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