The whole winter
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Pattern January Joke
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
We’ve basically got things where we want them headed towards our peak climos for snow/ice in mid to late January.
Now we just play the waiting game to see which contestant(s) will step forward in the medium range
Now we just play the waiting game to see which contestant(s) will step forward in the medium range
Enjoy your twister Saturday
We need this for sure
iGRXY
Member
I still think your Tennessee valley, CAD areas, Ozarks, maybe northern Mississippi and Alabama favor the best here before mid January. The ice signal is showing up on multiple models which makes sense with a building -NAO and very volatile western Canada and pacific. It favors frontal systems that die out or miller b setups. CAD areas are eventually going to get that brutal ice storm that’s eluded us for 2 decades.
wow
Member
You are in Iowa?
Well, we have a little bit of noise on the 18z GEFS, 5 days out. Interesting if any of tonight's 0z Ops latch on. Here's hoping.
Lord please let the 18z GEFS be onto something. Optimistic about January
Brent
Member
The EPS is better than the GEFS here which is weird... That like never happens
The GEFS does have an increasing signal on NYE though lol which the EPS is later into January
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Euro control that goes through late January.
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The NAO has spent very little time in the positive since Oct 15th. Hold the NAO somewhat and improve the Pacific and our chances will increase
That would be epic. I've been about ready to tweet that for a couple hours.
Euro control that goes through late January.
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The EPS is flashing just after D10.
AJ1013
Member
Not necessarily January related but the low temps tonight are something you rarely if ever see, particularly in winter. Colder here then in parts of Tennessee!
Improvement in last 4 run trend of the GEFS Ext for Jan 14-21
NBAcentel
Member
GFSAI continues to get colder 
NBAcentel
Member
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
wow
Member
Love some pretty pictures. Jan is looking good. Then again I said that last year and got next to nothing.
NBAcentel
Member
Big fan of this trend. If we can tilt that southern vort more or consolidate it we can trend QPF upwards. But a nice light wintry event this run
rburrel2
Member
Even as depicted that’s a major winter storm for us. Two runs in a row and trending better too.
NBAcentel
Member
NBAcentel
Member
Also the GFSAI is trying something with the main Arctic front. Rather interesting 
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
NBAcentel
Member
Vort coming in more consolidated this GFS run 
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
GFS had highs in the low to mid 30s next Friday over NC…cold stuff
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CNCsnwfan1210
Member
NBAcentel
Member
Looks like the initial vort is gonna get squashed lol
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
Different outcome than the 18z, no consistency whatsoever…imagine that 
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trackersacker
Member
00z suite minus maybe the GFS AI so far is a buzzkill. Hope Euro is better.
CNCsnwfan1210
Member
CMC sends a phased cutter through the OV and eastern Great Lakes
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LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
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New on top vs old on bottom. Not out of the realm of possibility…
trackersacker
Member
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trackersacker
Member
Bigedd09
Member
Sheesh. What a low track for January. Couldn’t draw it up better. Cold air lurking. We can work with this
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trackersacker
Member
Euro is trying to nuke the forum haha