• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

November 2025

SnowNiner said:
Gets cold next week. Then the trough shifts east, and we get back to warm beautiful SE ridge weather. I kinda love it (what's wrong me, I'm going warminista?). I bet we wedge a bit at times with the -NAO but the western trough hangs out mid-late November. I guess it's the fall leaves, sunshine, and low 70s, it's just really nice. Maybe December we convert to winter, but I'm enjoying November. 🏝️🏜️🔥🌞

View attachment 176101
Click to expand...
The rumors of torch are not necessarily to be believed. 11 days ago for this potentially record challenging cold shot:
1762445413368.png
1762445436795.png
We bit of difference :D
1762445560343.png
1762445590637.png
 
12z Canadian is absolutely frigid. 850s down to -12 to -13c over north ga. Highs might not get above freezing for places like gainesville Monday. Atlanta/west ga would certainly struggle to do so also. If that verified it would truly be extraordinary.
 

Attachments

  • gem_2025-11-06-12Z_102_39.944_263.667_27.389_288.067_Temperature_850.png
    gem_2025-11-06-12Z_102_39.944_263.667_27.389_288.067_Temperature_850.png
    230.9 KB · Views: 17
Last edited:
Rather hot in the USVI today. I hope they're alright!

SMjeyCS.png
 
SimeonNC said:
Most of lower elevation NC officially has a snow mean in the short-ish term for the first time this season. Credit to Mitch West for the image lol.
View attachment 176130
Click to expand...
Most of the members are dry, but there are a handful of relative bangers that beef up the totals. Hard to imagine this producing accumulating snowfall for most unless this thing really goes all out and tries to go neg. tilt somehow, which seems quite unlikely given the kicker (i.e. trailing energy) that will be shoving it eastward. Still, I think some snow showers are definitely possible east of the mountains and who knows, a lucky few might even get lucky enough to see the grass whiten up.
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-se-snow_total_multimember_panel_ecmwf_a-2905600.png
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-se-snow_total_multimember_panel_ecmwf_b-2905600.png
 
Last edited:
NCSNOW said:
One thing all the ops and ens agree on. QPF is paltry throughout most of NOV. No surprise there, but we need this to reverse before winter starts closing out come March.
Click to expand...
I do not see it reversing. We have a 1985-86 repeat coming with drought.
 
GaWx said:
The fall foliage here is headed to a significantly earlier peak than average. This is the earliest I can recall in many years! Recent years have peaked in the last week of Nov or Dec.

Anyone else have a fall leaf report?
Click to expand...

The leaves do seem to have turned a bit early here, east of Atlanta, as well. I can't recall the last time so much foliage was still on the trees with temps in the mid twenties, as looks likely here Tuesday morning.

Most years, I'm still scooping leaves out of the pool deep into December. I bet most of my trees will be bare by Thanksgiving.
 
GaWx said:
The fall foliage here is headed to a significantly earlier peak than average. This is the earliest I can recall in many years! Recent years have peaked in the last week of Nov or Dec.

Anyone else have a fall leaf report?
Click to expand...
yeah I’m noticing the same thing here. I’m in a wooded area and at this rate, all the trees around me are on pace to be bare by December and I’m typically blowing leaves till about 2 weeks before Christmas
 
The subtropical ridge has been ridiculously resilient over me this fall.

Just about every modeled western trough I’ve seen since late Sep has bad habit of disappearing once it hits the medium range.

Also looks like we are about to lose another one here too near the end of next week. Maybe we can finally get a decent western trough and synoptic scale wind event late in November before we probably go back to our regularly scheduled programming of Desert SW ridging.

IMG_6470.gif

IMG_6471.png

IMG_6472.png
 
GaWx said:
The fall foliage here is headed to a significantly earlier peak than average. This is the earliest I can recall in many years! Recent years have peaked in the last week of Nov or Dec.

Anyone else have a fall leaf report?
Click to expand...
Big winter incoming. Of course, you'd never know it given the 99% of winter forecasts being put out going straight Nina.
 
GaWx said:
The fall foliage here is headed to a significantly earlier peak than average. This is the earliest I can recall in many years! Recent years have peaked in the last week of Nov or Dec.

Anyone else have a fall leaf report?
Click to expand...
I was in DC earlier this week and it was exactly peak there. They have the exact same trees there as we do here with a few exceptions. I'd call it late in our area with a crap season over all with all the dry weather leading up. Its not bad to have some dry spells and cool nights, but extended drought kinda kills it.
 
griteater said:
Was a blocky run of the Euro AI Ensemble. Days 0 to 15

View attachment 176142
Click to expand...

Certainly wouldn’t kill us to put some snow on the ground over the Rockies, Upper Midwest, and into the Lakes late Nov. The -PNA late month will help

-PNA/NAOs are notoriously difficult patterns to nail down wrt sensible weather impacts in the Carolinas. A sneaky CAD can show up in the medium range completely ruin what once looked like a good warm spell
 
About 30 hours out, this is a good look! Low Saturday night 24, high of 32 Sunday. 18 degrees Sunday night, windchills in single digits!! It’s about time! Clipper season is here! RIP The Old Farmers Almanac! 😢IMG_3020.jpeg
 
Overnight Euro

1762516052637.png


What the Germans are spiting out this a.m.. Lake effect snow Pamlico/Albermarle sound style:
1762516247663.png


And then there's the Ukmet: Programed by Fro to jackpot his Backyard:

1762516345100.png

No need to post GFS, hardly has anything for even the mtns. Out to lunch still. The Short Range models will get to start taking a bite at things latter today.
 
Last edited:
QPF still looking not so good through November. However, and its way out there, so boulder of salt. Looks like the last week of the month we can get something going from Texas across SE and up seaboard. I would put the odds higher than normal. Because if anyone can stay bone dry a whole month and make it dump rain on one day out of the month. It will be us and happen on Thanksgiving Day. Wait for it!
 
SimeonNC said:
Both overnight and morning ICON, overnight UK and even the end of the RGEM this morning supports the Euro solution.
Click to expand...
It's rare for the modeling to support snow from these sorts of systems beyond the mountains in GA at least, so to see them going into this area makes it more interesting, so it's not just some low level flurries.
 
GaWx said:
The fall foliage here is headed to a significantly earlier peak than average. This is the earliest I can recall in many years! Recent years have peaked in the last week of Nov or Dec.

Anyone else have a fall leaf report?
Click to expand...
I'd say we peaked at my house earlier this week. We had enough rain to keep it pretty but not quite as good as it could have been. I was at my project in Blairsville yesterday and they are way past peak. Still pretty but the only trees with leaves at 2000 feet are the oaks.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top