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Misc General Banter Thread

Yall got anymore of them hurricanes!?

The chances are high that there will be at the very least one more hurricane when considering ENSO, recent late season climo, the Euro Weeklies and the longterm climo that says Oct is one of the 3 active hurricane months. I think there will be at least 3 more hurricanes this season. The MJO, which is in the midst of an unusual one month+ long mainly clockwise loop (“backward”), is looking to be on the favorable side for the foreseeable future. Imelda and Humberto formed during the very favorable phase 2.

With only 4 hurricanes so far, it is quite possible that we’re only halfway into the season’s total number of hurricanes.
 
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Maybe its just how the memory works but I don't remember sept and oct being constant 80s

Not trying to disagree, but I randomly picked 1994 at Florence airport. Certainly some 80s scattered around but look at those overnight lows.



1994-10-01865269.0-2.0040.000.00
1994-10-02836473.52.8090.030.00
1994-10-03695461.5-8.8301.59T0
1994-10-04734860.5-9.4400.000.00
1994-10-05774762.0-7.6300.000.00
1994-10-06785164.5-4.7000.000.00
1994-10-07775264.5-4.4000.000.00
1994-10-08836071.53.0070.000.00
1994-10-09865972.54.4080.000.00
1994-10-10695763.0-4.7200.220.00
1994-10-11655560.0-7.4500.000.00
1994-10-12715563.0-4.0200.030.00
1994-10-13675762.0-4.6301.250.00
1994-10-14666163.5-2.8100.280.00
1994-10-15765967.51.6030.000.00
1994-10-16734860.5-5.0400.000.00
1994-10-17744358.5-6.6600.000.00
1994-10-18774259.5-5.2500.000.00
1994-10-19804864.0-0.4100.000.00
1994-10-20755866.52.5020.060.00
1994-10-21825166.52.9020.000.00
1994-10-22785164.51.2000.010.00
1994-10-23816271.58.6070.190.00
1994-10-24815467.55.0030.000.00
1994-10-25815065.53.4010.000.00
1994-10-26714759.0-2.8600.000.00
1994-10-27654153.0-8.41200.000.00
1994-10-28664053.0-8.11200.000.00
1994-10-29805266.05.3010.000.00
1994-10-30826573.513.2090.380.00
1994-10-31776772.012.0070.000.00
Sum23491650--69634.04T-
Average75.853.264.5-1.0----0.0
Normal76.754.365.5-881043.42M-
 
Just for the heck of it, 1988. KFLO station.

1988-10-01846273.02.0080.040.00
1988-10-02866475.04.30100.000.00
1988-10-03826674.03.7090.340.00
1988-10-04705864.0-5.910T0.00
1988-10-05735162.0-7.6300.000.00
1988-10-06695160.0-9.2500.000.00
1988-10-07694758.0-10.9700.000.00
1988-10-08654153.0-15.51200.000.00
1988-10-09684255.0-13.11000.000.00
1988-10-10714256.5-11.2800.000.00
1988-10-11754761.0-6.4400.000.00
1988-10-12684757.5-9.5700.000.00
1988-10-13593547.0-19.61800.000.00
1988-10-14663249.0-17.31600.000.00
1988-10-15723553.5-12.41100.000.00
1988-10-16764058.0-7.5700.000.00
1988-10-17805165.50.4010.000.00
1988-10-18825166.51.8020.000.00
1988-10-19705361.5-2.9300.600.00
1988-10-20674455.5-8.5900.000.00
1988-10-21655057.5-6.1700.430.00
1988-10-22674656.5-6.8800.000.00
1988-10-23673651.5-11.41300.000.00
1988-10-24775666.54.002T0.00
1988-10-25704155.5-6.6900.000.00
1988-10-26694758.0-3.8700.020.00
1988-10-27714558.0-3.4700.000.00
1988-10-28775566.04.9010.110.00
1988-10-29655459.5-1.2500.000.00
1988-10-30665058.0-2.3700.000.00
1988-10-31504648.0-12.01700.140.00
Sum21961485--201331.680.0-
Average70.847.959.4-6.1----0.0
Normal76.754.365.5-881043.42M-
 
Anyone have a guess as to when the first big cold front will come through the south with widespread 40s at night ? Serious replies only. Don’t say something silly like December or January.
GFS says Oct 13th.

1759332371666.png


This would be our first true fall front for many; but this will probably change many times b/w now and then. Last nights Euro also shows a front but delayed by a couple days.
1759332346124.png


We'll see but mid Oct is always a good time to watch for these type fronts; hopefully we'll be able to see the models continue to show this kind of thing.
 
i still can't get over the fact that i thought @Rain Cold was a bitter old man all of these years i knew them
the image was someone in their mid 70's cussing at computer models and complaining about cd-roms vs floppy disks
Well, close. I was born in the mid-70s, and I do quite frequently shout at the computer and complain about cd-roms vs floppy disks. Also cassette tapes vs 8 tracks. And now that I have a smart phone, I find a lot more things to complain about! 😂
 
Maybe its just how the memory works but I don't remember sept and oct being constant 80s
Average high at RDU starts at 86 in September and ends at 77, so I’d expect most daily highs to be in the 80s or above for that month. I counted 17 last month and we ended 0.5 degrees below normal for the month (impressive for the RDU sensor). In October, the average highs start at 77 and end at 68, so theoretically shouldn’t be too many 80+ highs (although likely some). Looks like we’ll have more than normal this month, though.

Of course, if one were looking at 1971-2000 normals instead of 1991-2020 normals, I’d imagine these average highs may be another degree cooler or so.
 
Last year and every other one lol 🤷‍♂️. I literally live for October to March weather, wouldn't be that way if all of October were riddled with nothing but 80s 🤮.


View attachment 175323
Last year was horrible. Where is that data? I haven't seen that presentation before.
 
I hate when it’s cloudy but it doesn’t rain. What’s the point of clouds if it doesn’t rain ?
Shade, keeping it cool, deflect solar radiation, provide water vapor so it can rain later, making shapes out of the clouds, cool formations, pretty sunsets and sunrises...
 
Shade, keeping it cool, deflect solar radiation, provide water vapor so it can rain later, making shapes out of the clouds, cool formations, pretty sunsets and sunrises...

Yeah, I was very grateful for what happened for about 10-11 days in August where it's supposed to be 90 plus with that major CAD event.

And I guess based on what I've been seeing, I should be grateful that the backdoor front/CAD stuff keeps blocking above average temps at times because 90+ in Minny is nasty for late Sept/Oct.
 
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