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Pattern Another Angry August: Broiled, Baked, and Bone-Dry

JHS said:
This 2nd round is going to miss me too. This area is cursed like no other.
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JHS said:
The GFS will be right. I guarantee it.
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JHS said:
That's more than we will see before Thanksgiving over here.
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You are a hard one to figure out. Every now and then you make some good thoughtful posts but the rain fixation is hard to understand. You live in SC, which is in the SE. Outside the PNW, this is the rainiest area of the country. Even in the driest years on record, the area gets 30 plus inches of rain, and most years we get 40, 50, or even 60+.

Per "best places" https://www.bestplaces.net/climate/city/sc/jonesville , Jonesville averages 47 in per year.

Per time and date https://www.bestplaces.net/climate/city/sc/jonesville you average 52.56 inches per year.

Per weather world https://www.weatherworld.com/climate-averages/sc/jonesville.html its 53.6.

If any of us were to drive over to Jonesville; I gurantee we would see something that looks a lot more like this

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than this...

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
443 PM EDT SAT AUG 2 2025

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
CHATHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 645 PM EDT.

* AT 443 PM EDT, DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A NEARLY STATIONARY AREA OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVER WINDSOR FOREST AND HUNTER ARMY AIRFIELD. AS
MUCH AS 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST HOUR AND
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES COULD FALL THROUGH 645 PM, RESULTING IN
CONSIDERABLE URBAN FLOODING. PREPARE NOW FOR POSSIBLE CLOSED ROADS
DUE TO FLOODING.

HAZARD...FLASH FLOODING CAUSED BY THUNDERSTORMS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS, URBAN
AREAS, HIGHWAYS, STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS
OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING AREAS.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING INCLUDE...
WINDSOR FOREST, HUNTER ARMY AIRFIELD, COFFEE BLUFF, MIDTOWN
SAVANNAH, DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH, MONTGOMERY, GARDEN CITY, THUNDERBOLT
AND VERNONBURG.

*Edit: I ended up with ~1.6” from late yesterday afternoon through very early this morning.
 
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Looks like a break here soon in the rain at the track but another cell may be there in 30-45. Wonder if they’ll start our just wait
 
jrips27 said:
Looks like a break here soon in the rain at the track but another cell may be there in 30-45. Wonder if they’ll start our just wait
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Get it going as soon as you can. Salvage attendance and viewership if they play tonight even delayed. Also, no guarantees that cell survives.


Side note, I love CAD. Even when it fails us. 68/66 right now
 
jackendrickwx said:
Man. A familiar site of a wet Bristol, I’ve been to more than one rain delayed race there
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Braves and NASCAR, with the way the Braves season is going with there being no fun for anyone and NASCAR dealing with delays apparently (not that I'm a NASCAR fan), no surprise that there's a long delay.

Strider was scratched to boot as well, and it'll likely be a pen game that the Braves will for sure lose (I'm guessing they play it).

The shots of the field were pretty nice.
 
Today started off below 70, somehow, the A/C still flipped on though in spite of it.

May actually feel cool outside later today, it was still warm yesterday, but the NE breezes cooled it off.
 
I see neither the GFS nor the Euro are backing off their solutions. My money is on the GFS. I guarantee it'll verify
 
As long as the gfs keeps developing that tropical system in the wake of 95l its going to be the drier model. It's a hard scenario to believe but anything is possible i suppose
 
SD said:
As long as the gfs keeps developing that tropical system in the wake of 95l its going to be the drier model. It's a hard scenario to believe but anything is possible i suppose
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I'll say 1 thing though. It's hard to ignore the Canadian, Euro, Icon, and the UKMET, but the GFS is not moving an inch. This would most likely be much more stratiform too, meaning all of us get good rain if those models are right.
 
The 12z GFS is still dry over most of the Carolinas over the next few days. The other models will most likely join it today.
 
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