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Pattern July Fry and Dry

KRDU in their discussion mentioned that next Tuesday would only have highs in the mid-upper eighties with lows in the mid-upper sixties. This will feel almost fall like compared to what we have been enduring lately. Our break seems to be short lived, however, with highs back into the nineties and lows back into the seventies on Wednesday and for the rest of the forecast period.
 
Brent said:
Yes I know but it's still like why 😂

I don't know why it bothers me so much I sleep most of the day because of my work schedule right now anyway
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Drizzle Snizzle said:
If this has been an enjoyable summer compared to recent summers, then recent summers must have been very hot. Because Tulsa was actually around normal for temps in June and close to normal so far in July also.
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95 has been the hottest this summer so far. The last time there hadn’t been 96+ as of today was way back in 2008! But then 2008 got very hot.
 
We may see a brief but minimal break:

From RAH:
".....................
Confidence is increasing that we`ll see the rare summertime
synoptic frontal passage Mon night or early Tue, as a relatively
cooler high with lower dewpoints in the 60s builds in from the Great
Lakes and St Lawrence Valley, while aloft, the longwave trough halts
briefly off the East Coast. This surface high is expected to slide E
and off the Northeast and Mid Atlantic coast by Thu while still
extending down through NC in an almost CAD-like configuration,
including lowering surface pressures along the Southeast coast as an
inverted trough develops. Highs should be mostly in the 80s Tue/Wed,
with relatively low humidity for this time of year. Once the high
pushes further out over the open NW Atlantic by Thu/Fri and
modifies, the heat is likely to return as the deep mid level
anticyclone builds from the central Miss Valley eastward across
NC/VA. ....................."

6z GFS dew points for midday Tuesday (0z was a little cooler/dryer into central NC):
1752925467339.png

Sad to be looking forward to low 60s dew points. But you take any relief you can get...
 
Shaggy said:
Storms coming up from myrtle beach were ringed with a rainbow. Pictures dont do it justice.
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They were pretty nuts to be under here in central Horry. Picked up ~.5" with unbelievable lightning for what seemed like an hour and lots of low thunder from the stratiform for a long time after.
 
Downeastnc said:
82/82 at 8:30 in the morning.....heat index will crack 100 anytime now. People that like this weather are nuts. Might get some storms today been blanked all week.
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Right the amount of people who have begged for this weather here for weeks is just mind boggling to me. The endless complaining on Facebook about the rain and how it was ruining their summer. I mean do they not remember when we had a 130 heat index a couple summers ago? Or the fact that August is usually our hottest month? Almost every heat record here is from August so we're not even close to being done probably beyond the next week or two

Yes it is true that this summer is probably not gonna be as bad as every summer since 2022 here(we had already hit 100 weeks ago every summer) but that doesn't change the fact people begged for it knowing our history and the potential we have I mean in 1936 we were over 110 air temperature for a week! And over 100 for 65 days! Do people really want that again?

I bet they aren't even outside in it either.. 🙄

/End rant
 
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The way I look at it is that for the winter, you can wrap up in several clothes and usually be OK, but you can only take off so many clothes in the summer.

I'm over it involving summer. Gonna visit my older cousin for the first time in a few years who's currently stationed at Ft Stewart in SE GA (at least hopefully) since he divorced with his wife next weekend, but most of my exciting parts of summer have passed.
 
Brent said:
Right the amount of people who have begged for this weather here for weeks is just mind boggling to me. The endless complaining on Facebook about the rain and how it was ruining their summer. I mean do they not remember when we had a 130 heat index a couple summers ago? Or the fact that August is usually our hottest month? Almost every heat record here is from August so we're not even close to being done probably beyond the next week or two

Yes it is true that this summer is probably not gonna be as bad as every summer since 2022 here(we had already hit 100 weeks ago every summer) but that doesn't change the fact people begged for it knowing our history and the potential we have I mean in 1936 we were over 110 air temperature for a week! And over 100 for 65 days! Do people really want that again?

I bet they aren't even outside in it either.. 🙄

/End rant
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Weird that August is your hottest month. In most of the country July is the hottest month.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
The way I look at it is that for the winter, you can wrap up in several clothes and usually be OK, but you can only take off so many clothes in the summer.

I'm over it involving summer. Gonna visit my older cousin for the first time in a few years who's currently stationed at Ft Stewart in SE GA (at least hopefully) since he divorced with his wife next weekend, but most of my exciting parts of summer have passed.
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I think one of the biggest gripes people have with cold weather is that they don’t like having to deal with all of the snow. Shoveling and driving in it. That’s not a big issue in the south though.
 
Drizzle Snizzle said:
Weird that August is your hottest month. In most of the country July is the hottest month.
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The irony is that Dallas hottest is in June 🤣 also in Dallas around Labor Day! has been some of the worst heat on record there. One of only a few times they've been over 110

But even 2011/2012 which are the worst summers this century the heat peaked in August here go figure

I've been telling people for weeks just wait for August. I was pretty close
 
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Both the long range GFS and Euro show no relief for any of us and a brutal time upcoming for the plains. It's been a long time since I've seen a pattern so static and with so much staying power. Man do we need a pattern change!
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
Both the long range GFS and Euro show no relief for any of us and a brutal time upcoming for the plains. It's been a long time since I've seen a pattern so static and with so much staying power. Man do we need a pattern change!
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The Euro shows a major break for at least NC and SC around the end of the month. High just around 80 -85. No clue of course if it'll verify though.
 
JHS said:
The Euro shows a major break for at least NC and SC around the end of the month. High just around 80 -85. No clue of course if it'll verify though.
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These July CADs seem to be more common now. We used to not get a break until August.
 
JHS said:
The Euro shows a major break for at least NC and SC around the end of the month. High just around 80 -85. No clue of course if it'll verify though.
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That must be from the latest Euro then. The GFS was showing that yesterday but that NC/SC state line barrier got in the way and it didn't make it through. We'll see what happens but this has been a tough stretch.
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
That must be from the latest Euro then. The GFS was showing that yesterday but that NC/SC state line barrier got in the way and it didn't make it through. We'll see what happens but this has been a tough stretch.
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We still get a very small break Tuesday and Wednesday, maybe. I don't have a lot of faith that the front gets through here. 1 thing that looks certainly though is if we miss getting rainfall early next week, much of SC and GA will be waiting a long time for it. 2016 is looking like how this summer and fall may go. As far the end of July the latest GFS shows no break from the heat then like the Euro. I think we know which one will be right.
 
94/77. Cut grass from 1-3 and wasn’t too bad with the breeze out of the SW. Much more tolerable than wind blowing in off the ocean.
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
Both the long range GFS and Euro show no relief for any of us and a brutal time upcoming for the plains. It's been a long time since I've seen a pattern so static and with so much staying power. Man do we need a pattern change!
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A pattern change likely won't come until a sub 940mb typhoon makes it way north and undergoes extratropical transition. This will ripple effect towards us and shake things up a bit.
 
Atlanta has had an incredible 18 straight days of 90+ temps. The record is 38 straight and the next 14 days look to be in the 90s. So the streak should extend to at least 32.
 
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