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Pattern June’s Drought Dialogues

Yesterday I walked into my home with a dead AC. (78 degrees inside). Emergency call and $540 later it was fixed. (Some sorta capacitor) It caught up overnight to 68 degrees. It's now 76 in my home. Unit is not frozen. I'll be making a call first thing in the AM.
 
EV/WS said:
Yesterday I walked into my home with a dead AC. (78 degrees inside). Emergency call and $540 later it was fixed. (Some sorta capacitor) It caught up overnight to 68 degrees. It's now 76 in my home. Unit is not frozen. I'll be making a call first thing in the AM.
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The worst. Sometimes the fan on my unit will get stuck and the unit will just hum. If I flip the breaker at the unit it will reset and work again. This unit is on its last leg and has been for 8 years. Til’ the wheels fall off, baby.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
The worst. Sometimes the fan on my unit will get stuck and the unit will just hum. If I flip the breaker at the unit it will reset and work again. This unit is on its last leg and has been for 8 years. Til’ the wheels fall off, baby.
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Smart. I flipped the breaker, but the outside fan would not restart. 🤷🏻‍♂️
 
From RDU: only barely below record high 850s being forecasted Tue:

AS OF 230 AM MONDAY...

* DANGEROUS HEAT CONTINUES---EXTREME HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT

THE ANOMALOUS RIDGE WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE REGION, WITH
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EXPECTED TO MARK THE PEAK OF THE HEAT WAVE AS
A CORE OF 24-25C 850 MB TEMPERATURES BUILD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS.
FOR REFERENCE, THE ALL-TIME HIGHEST OBSERVED 850MB TEMPERATURE IS
25.4C(SET ON 7/1/2012), HIGHLIGHTING THE POTENTIAL EXTREMITY OF THIS
HEAT EVENT.

THESE CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S TO
LOW 100S.
—————

6Z GFS has peak, which is on Tue afternoon, of +24C while 6Z Euro has +23C
 
SD said:
90 at the house already, we are going to make a serious run at 100 today
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Big disagreement on 6Z between Euro and GFS for today’s high at RDU:

-Euro has “cooled” from 850 of +23 to +22 over last 24 hrs for 0Z this evening while GFS has done opposite (now +23 vs +22 yesterday).

-Today’s high 2M temps have followed with Euro cooling from 101 to 97 whereas GFS has warmed from 101 to 103! A 6F difference on day 1 is huge!

-10AM RDU reading was 89. For 10AM, 6Z Euro had 87 while GFS had 88.

-So, advantage GFS right now. When also considering the ~2-3F warm bias of the sensor, I’m leaning to 100+ on RDU sensor for today’s high. RDU is forecasting a high “only” in the upper 90s today, but they may not be taking sensor’s warm bias into account.
 
GaWx said:
Big disagreement on 6Z between Euro and GFS for today’s high at RDU:

-Euro has “cooled” from 850 of +23 to +22 over last 24 hrs for 0Z this evening while GFS has done opposite (now +23 vs +22 yesterday).

-Today’s high 2M temps have followed with Euro cooling from 101 to 97 whereas GFS has warmed from 101 to 103! A 6F difference on day 1 is huge!

-10AM RDU reading was 89. For 10AM, 6Z Euro had 87 while GFS had 88.

-So, advantage GFS right now. When also considering the ~2-3F warm bias of the sensor, I’m leaning to 100+ on RDU sensor for today’s high. RDU is forecasting a high “only” in the upper 90s today, but they may not be taking sensor’s warm bias into account.
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Followup: 6Z/12Z for 1PM at RDU

GFS 99/99 with high of 103/102
Euro 95/96 with high of 97/98

Actual 1PM is 96, closer to Euro. My guess is that high will be in between those models at 100.
 
IMBY: Hold my beer
Online(updated 16 seconds ago)
Current Conditions
93.0 °F
Feels Like 98.9 °
img

NE
img

WIND & GUST
0.0 / 0.0 mph
DEWPOINT
69.9 °F
PRECIP RATE
0.00 in/hr
PRESSURE
29.78 in
HUMIDITY
47 %
PRECIP ACCUM
0.00 in
UV
9
 
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