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Pattern Jarring January

Storm5 said:
Not sure why we are even watching the gfs it’s clearly wrong about the ice storm threat so we know the rest of the run is BS
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Join the party in the banter thread! It’s very interesting over there! Looks like the gfs is showing a typical bias. Maybe we won’t lose the system to the NORTH of us this time. So many times we are worried about getting the moisture far enough north, and we end up being on the southern end of the winter weather.
 
Gonna be a party pooper here but after last week of December...

January it appears to go downhill our Pacific hose/southern jet gets cut off and storm track begins to lift north for couple weeks... Enjoy the below normal temps though grrr...

Edit exception will be those in North Carolina expect y'all to cash in one more time in early January
 
Xtreme Weather said:
Gonna be a party pooper here but after last week of December...

January it appears to go downhill our Pacific hose/southern jet gets cut off and storm track begins to lift north for couple weeks... Enjoy the below normal temps though grrr...

Edit exception will be those in North Carolina expect y'all to cash in one more time in early January
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Let it be announced that IF we have system around the first of the year that requires a thread it WILL be called the “ Anti Extreme Weather Winter Storm “
 
Not a bad look this run big cold press to the north and a crap load of energy streaming NE out of the SW. could be a good run for the mid south
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Storm5 said:
Plenty of peotential . IF we are gonna flip the pattern mid January we are 100 percent going out with a bang
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Yep. There is so much energy coming through and it’s almost impossible not to get a nice ticket item before we flip the pattern.


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Bet there are probably some nice members for Jan 2-4 threat. Can see highest precip accumulations over a 24 hour period staying suppressed in the deep South/southeast.
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Storm5 said:
Not a bad look this run big cold press to the north and a crap load of energy streaming NE out of the SW. could be a good run for the mid south
ee039c8d437763fa183fd519945ae48a.jpg



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I'm gonna side with Xtreme, nothing at all I like about that look.
 
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Webberweather53 said:
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It's amazing how rossby wave momentum deposition from Rossby Wave Trains converging over the East Pacific in both hemispheres can create a subtropical jet stream here which wasn't initally/largely forced by tropical convection in the east-central Pacific! The interactions between tropical heating sources and Rossby waves are clearly 2 way and this is one way you can get Rossby Waves to force & excite tropical convection. Normally we think of tropical convection forcing Rossby wave trains downstream of them but it actually works the other way around too!
 
Storm5 said:
Even better now when the time is right it will be the “ anti arcc and extreme weather threat thread “.
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Well it worked last time. I didn't think that threat was much until three days out, so I'll be happily wrong if it nets me another 9 inches.
 
I would think most of this is ice and sleet tho. But at this point I will take whatever she wants to give me.
Can’t complain when I see a map like that.
 
So do we still have three possible events or two? I know this Thursday and Friday is one, and looks like the 31st and 1st after that. Is there another one for a couple of days later? Just trying to keep up. I think it might just be better to have a thread for each possible event at this time.
 
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Brick Tamland said:
So do we still have three possible events or two? I know this Thursday and Friday is one, and looks like the 31st and 1st after that. Is there another one for a couple of days later? Just trying to keep up. I think it might just be better to have a thread for each possible event at this time.
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I believe it’s 3 but I might be wrong.
 
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