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Severe Severe Threat Jan 24-26

There may be a little action in the Carolinas too on Wednesday if the CAD retreats far enough. The SPC has a marginal risk SE of I-85 in both states.
 
Wind advisories out from the gulf coast to Nashville. 40 to 50 mph gusts from gradient winds possible. Mets here in Birmingham are mentioning scattered power outages could occur.
 
TileDude said:
Wind advisories out from the gulf coast to Nashville. 40 to 50 mph gusts from gradient winds possible. Mets here in Birmingham are mentioning scattered power outages could occur.
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If we get 40-50mph gusts, power outages are gonna be more than scattered. The ground is absolutely saturated.
 
Downeastnc said:
Big upgrade for the east coast Wed...the 00Z Nam3k was rather meh though...

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6z 3k NAM tried to get some storms going in coastal sections and fwiw the LR HRRR had a couple UD helicity swaths down east. Also I'm guessing it's been expanded for potential wind issues if storms can get going. Low cape, high shear always has a couple of surprises
 
metwannabe said:
6z 3k NAM tried to get some storms going in coastal sections and fwiw the LR HRRR had a couple UD helicity swaths down east. Also I'm guessing it's been expanded for potential wind issues if storms can get going. Low cape, high shear always has a couple of surprises
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Yep the line fires a bit further west this run, and that trend should continue....we shall see. Lately we suck at all kinds of weather here, well except for hot and cold rain.....the only bright spot has been a few decent wind events.
 
One thing is for certain this gradient wind looks to be no joke. Gusts to tropical storm force not out of the question. Something about a rainy and windy night is my favorite type if weather. This is a really dynamic system. Those of us a little further north in dixie alley can count our blessings that this is January and not April.
 
I see the threat shifted SE today, not surprising, cold stable airmass across our region gonna be stubborn.
 
Nasty mesos just offshore.

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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Our first over performer in many months here. Much needed and another piss poor job by the hi res models that were only showing me getting .25 to .35 totals
 
The catch pond for the two facilities here us backed up and the ditch that feeds it is now backing up towards my back set of docks
 

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@SD This was a legit bust on the models. Pur entire back docking pad is a flooded out mess. Probably 5 to 8 inches of water.
 

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