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Severe 2022 Severe Thread

We need a day 7-8 thread. I'd like to see a few more model runs though. Spc has already issued a outlook talking about supercells and tornadoes. With a spc highlight risk for most of the state on day 8 which is rare. @SD
 
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Very favorable upper air pattern for lift during that time frame it looks like. Large scale divergence and decent height falls with steep lapse rates. Could be a big one. Too far away yet to know anything. All hands on deck lol. 3 severe threat within a weeks timeframe.
 
If this month's any indication, we're just getting warmed up unfortunately...West-based La Nina/Cold Neutral, -PNA, -PDO and +TNI in play. Temp composites frighteningly look familar with the indicies in play...
 

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Sizzling look on the Euro about a week out.

Edit: Also a very ugly look after day ten.
 
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Darklordsuperstorm said:
So far this spring these systems have been lacking good instability. That's about to change. If we keep getting these looks in April one of them is bound to get ugly. Right now they are lined up like trains on a track.
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I would like to get off this train please. Too many stops lately.
 
As much as I hate to mention this, 5/6 days until this next severe weather setup and should there be a thread for it or to early?
 
accu35 said:
As much as I hate to mention this, 5/6 days until this next severe weather setup and should there be a thread for it or to early?
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Too early until the SPC highlights the area

I only start the forum on the specific dates for Severe Weather if the SPC highlights a certain area for Severe Weather, that's the only condition that must be met before I start a forum
 
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Sure looks like next weeks severe event could be multi-day and very significant across the Plains/Midwest moving into OH/TN Valley the following day. Though historic-level might be overdone. Sure looks like La Nina is truly asserting herself...
 
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Detective WX said:


Sure looks like next weeks severe event could be multi-day and very significant across the Plains/Midwest moving into OH/TN Valley the following day. Though historic-level might be overdone. Sure looks like La Nina is truly asserting herself...
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I know bastardi has been having wet dreams about April 2011 for the past month ?
 
Detective WX said:


Sure looks like next weeks severe event could be multi-day and very significant across the Plains/Midwest moving into OH/TN Valley the following day. Though historic-level might be overdone. Sure looks like La Nina is truly asserting herself...
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Sure is, we are gonna go from frost threats to frying in an instant.
 
Arcc said:
Sure is, we are gonna go from frost threats to frying in an instant.
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The strat pv has been dead now for a few weeks but we are still seeing decent high latitude blocking. I thought the wheels would fall off of the blocking by mid April but it looks like it might extend a little longer and some typhoon activity in the west pac might muddy things up. Eventually this high latitude blocking pattern will run out of gas and we probably jump right into summer
 
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