Severe 2022 Severe Thread

[SD]

And go

 

[NWMSGuy]

Thanks @SD for starting this! What’s everyone’s thoughts on this Season?

 

[HSVweather]

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Zander98al]

We need a day 7-8 thread. I'd like to see a few more model runs though. Spc has already issued a outlook talking about supercells and tornadoes. With a spc highlight risk for most of the state on day 8 which is rare. @SD

 

[Zander98al]

Been a while since a day 8 outlook.

 

[Zander98al]

Very favorable upper air pattern for lift during that time frame it looks like. Large scale divergence and decent height falls with steep lapse rates. Could be a big one. Too far away yet to know anything. All hands on deck lol. 3 severe threat within a weeks timeframe.

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Detective WX]

If this month's any indication, we're just getting warmed up unfortunately...West-based La Nina/Cold Neutral, -PNA, -PDO and +TNI in play. Temp composites frighteningly look familar with the indicies in play...

 

[Arcc]

Sizzling look on the Euro about a week out.

Edit: Also a very ugly look after day ten.

 

[tennessee storm]

Sizzling look on the Euro about a week out.

Edit: Also a very ugly look after day ten.

100 percent agree Buckle up if this holds

 

[NWMSGuy]

Sizzling look on the Euro about a week out.

Edit: Also a very ugly look after day ten.

What areas of the South look to be in play?

 

[Arcc]

What areas of the South look to be in play?

The models have backed way off at least right now.

 

[Arcc]

Euro showing a look that has been really troublesome in the past at day ten.

 

[Snowfan]

 

[HSVweather]

Somewhere in south MS?

 

[Snowfan]

 

[Snowfan]

Somewhere in south MS?

Yep

 

[Snowfan]

Should we fire up a thread for next week? Western Alabama