Misc 2021-22 Fall/Winter Whamby Thread

[GaWx]

Just leafing through the Jan thread. I'd like to see someone find winters that had djf all solidly BN. I'm not talking -2--1 or barely bn find a year that had all 3 well BN. I'd also challenge anyone to find a year that had significant snow/winter storms in all 3 months you can bring march/Nov in of you'd like to see if you can get 3 of 5. My guess is you are going to find a small % outside of the mountains and maybe the classic wedge zones.

All I'm saying is the idea that we in the SE lock cold and endlessly cycle through winter storms from December to Feb is the exception and in reality most of our winters are typically defined by shorter periods of cold or multiple snows within a 14-28 day period

I agree with your general idea that wall to wall cold is rare.

These are the 10 winters out of 144 (7% of them or ~1 in 14) that had all 3 months more than 2 BN at KATL:

1885-6, 1901-2, 1903-4, 1935-6 (all 4+ BN), 1962-3 (all 5+ BN), 1963-4, 1968-9, 1976-7 (all 4+ BN), 1977-8, 2009-10

- 5 of these 10 were weak to moderate El Niño
- 6 of the 10 were El Niño
- 3 of the 10 were neutral
- 1 of the 10 was La Niña (1903-4)
- 4 of the last 5 were weak to moderate El Niño
- the last 5 were all El Niño; the last that wasn’t was the neutral 1962-3; the last that was La Niña was way back in 1903-4

 

[Justanotherweatherfan]

You cause 80% of it

Yep

 

[SD]

I agree with your general idea that wall to wall cold is rare.

These are the 10 winters out of 144 (7% of them or ~1 in 14) that had all 3 months more than 2 BN at KATL:

1885-6, 1901-2, 1903-4, 1935-6 (all 4+ BN), 1962-3 (all 5+ BN), 1963-4, 1968-9, 1976-7 (all 4+ BN), 1977-8, 2009-10

- 5 of these 10 were weak to moderate El Niño
- 6 of the 10 were El Niño
- 3 of the 10 were neutral
- 1 of the 10 was La Niña (1903-4)
- 4 of the last 5 were weak to moderate El Niño
- the last 5 were all El Niño; the last that wasn’t was the neutral 1962-3; the last that was La Niña was way back in 1903-4

Interesting to see 76-78 there, 75 is a decent SST analog......

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

I agree with your general idea that wall to wall cold is rare.

These are the 10 winters out of 144 (7% of them or ~1 in 14) that had all 3 months more than 2 BN at KATL:

1885-6, 1901-2, 1903-4, 1935-6 (all 4+ BN), 1962-3 (all 5+ BN), 1963-4, 1968-9, 1976-7 (all 4+ BN), 1977-8, 2009-10

- 5 of these 10 were weak to moderate El Niño
- 6 of the 10 were El Niño
- 3 of the 10 were neutral
- 1 of the 10 was La Niña (1903-4)
- 4 of the last 5 were weak to moderate El Niño
- the last 5 were all El Niño; the last that wasn’t was the neutral 1962-3; the last that was La Niña was way back in 1903-4

And just how many winters have had all 3 months more than 2 AN ? My guess is more than 10.

 

[SD]

Post of the month honestly! Well said! I have more pics on my phone of clouds and weather related stuff! Even more than beautiful thick girls! I love snow more than anything and the chase is more fun than the event, still!

I get people's frustration there are plenty of times in summer when it doesn't rain here but others post their totals and I want to wish drought on them but what does that accomplish other than being spiteful? No matter how much negativity, positivity, analogging, model posting, wishcasting, bittercasting, gets done the outcome is going to be what it is. The more I do this the more I realize Bastardi was right with "enjoy the weather, it's the only weather you get"

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

I get people's frustration there are plenty of times in summer when it doesn't rain here but others post their totals and I want to wish drought on them but what does that accomplish other than being spiteful? No matter how much negativity, positivity, analogging, model posting, wishcasting, bittercasting, gets done the outcome is going to be what it is. The more I do this the more I realize Bastardi was right with "enjoy the weather, it's the only weather you get"

The difference is, in the summer if you miss out on a storm there's no need to worry because you know you'll have plenty of more chances.

 

[SD]

The difference is, in the summer if you miss out on a storm there's no need to worry because you know you'll have plenty of more chances.

You sure about that? I can't remember the last time I had a major 1+ inch rain

 

[Parker]

I wish it was all just easier to get snow for us. I'm in denial

I need Don to write up a prediction.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

I wish it was all just easier to get snow for us. I'm in denial

And it will probably only get harder in the future as the climate continues to get warmer.

 

[Avalanche]

I wish it was all just easier to get snow for us. I'm in denial

I need Don to write up a prediction.

Hell, the Mid Atlantic is exempt from it so far. Terrible year for the East Coast.

 

[cd2play]

And it will probably only get harder in the future as the climate continues to get warmer.

It will cycle back to colder after we're dead and gone. Probably just to spite us! ?

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

After starting 0-4 it looks like the SEC will finally win a bowl game. Congrats Gamecocks !

 

[NoSnowATL]

SC will win the SEC East next year. Great win in the Walmart KMart UPS Dollar General bowl.

 

[SD]

SC will win the SEC East next year. Great win in the Walmart KMart UPS Dollar General bowl.

Don't you do dooks mayo like that

 

[NoSnowATL]

Don't you do dooks mayo like that

@Robert West won’t be happy with my post.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Did they dump a big jar of Dukes Mayo on Beamer ?

 

[GaWx]

And just how many winters have had all 3 months more than 2 AN ? My guess is more than 10.

Yep, 13, with 4 of those 13 since 2011-12.

1879-80 (La Niña), 1881-2 (neutral), 1889-90 (La Niña), 1908-9 (La Niña), 1931-2 (neutral), 1948-9 (neutral), 1956-7 (neutral) 1996-7 (neutral), 1998-9 (La Nina), 2011-2 (La Niña), 2016-7 (La Niña), 2018-9 (El Nino), 2019-20 (neutral)

- 6 of the 13 La Niña
- 6 of the 13 neutral
- only 1 of the 13 El Niño (2018-9) but it was recent and thus is misleading about El Niño to some
- mirror opposite of the 10 wall to wall cold with 6 times as many of these wall to wall warm ones being La Niña vs El Niño; with wall to wall cold, 6 times as many were El Niño vs La Nina

 

[SD]

Yep, 13, with 4 of those 13 since 2011-12.

1879-80 (La Niña), 1881-2 (neutral), 1889-90 (La Niña), 1908-9 (La Niña), 1931-2 (neutral), 1948-9 (neutral), 1956-7 (neutral) 1996-7 (neutral), 1998-9 (La Nina), 2011-2 (La Niña), 2016-7 (La Niña), 2018-9 (El Nino), 2019-20 (neutral)

- 6 of the 13 La Niña
- 6 of the 13 neutral
- only 1 of the 13 El Niño (2018-9) but it was recent and thus is misleading about El Niño to some
- mirror opposite of the 10 wall to wall cold with 6 times as many of these wall to wall warm ones being La Niña vs El Niño; with wall to wall cold, 6 times as many were El Niño vs La Nina

Do you have time to pull the snow/ice data from the cold years and warm years?

 

[LickWx]

Don't you do dooks mayo like that

The entire state of South Carolina gets free sweet tea from bojangles today since South Carolina won. I’m heated . Coulda been me getting it instead it’s @Jimmy Hypocracy

 

[Tarheel1]

I get people's frustration there are plenty of times in summer when it doesn't rain here but others post their totals and I want to wish drought on them but what does that accomplish other than being spiteful? No matter how much negativity, positivity, analogging, model posting, wishcasting, bittercasting, gets done the outcome is going to be what it is. The more I do this the more I realize Bastardi was right with "enjoy the weather, it's the only weather you get"

And it’s only weather! It’s going to snow in Iowa, drought in California, hurricane in Florida, so I’m going to document the weather I’m experiencing!