This little warm up is gonna be nice before a colder pattern returns, it’s nice to have warm bouts every now and then, mid 60s/low 70s would feel great 
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Pattern December to Remember
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Can’t wait to see where this goes 
Oh man oh man oh man 
Overrunning potential getting very real
Nice longwave pattern. If it were winter, someone would get a snowstorm. They still might. What does the surface look like?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Gotta love the pure arctic air dropping down too. Just a slight energy difference and there could be a decent storm
Need a -tilt earlier for overrunning but man the cold is legit, straight up arctic root
-850s knocking on the door right into the bahamas, it’s happy hour alright 
It’s the GFS. I trust it as much as I trust a politician.
Has support so we hug, has a good solution so we hug
Don’t they say it’s usually warm before a snow storm ?
Meh 
Some Minor stretched PV showing up with that EC trough 
That's a really impressive cold shot.
Have mercy. That’s a rare fantasy run right there
Mr. Golf
Member
Mr. Golf
Member
The thing is he really is a smart guy, but hypes an absurdly amount way too much
LickWx
Member
Lmao I love mets who tell you something like this is happening with certainty .
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Somebody ask @metwannabe about the winter of ‘67? How was it? ???
cd2play
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If Duke Joe Bastardi keeps calling for cold every winter, eventually he's going to get it right. (I hope)
Opening the door to some 60s/70s later next week, this will feel nice after the consistent 55/32 days we been having 
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Bullocks! 
Dogs bollocks. FTFY
Eh 
Signal still looks great for a big finger of arctic air and this far out theres bound to be minute differences .. as long as the cold air is still in play we got something to play around with
True arctic attack here .. high temps with full sunshine .. winter is upon us 
I’ll take my chances with this look
But this will be the inevitable battle we play all winter long with the SER
But this will be the inevitable battle we play all winter long with the SER
Fantasy summer in winter .. luckily in fantasy land for now 
Euro broke 
Trough so deep that it creates its own block above still some western ridging going on makes me think this wouldn’t go straight to a SER like the GFS did on its operational
Good grief where's the sign up sheet for the day 7-10 euro. First decent widespread rain in a long time followed by a shot at getting some flakes in the air then the coldest air mass a good chunk of the region has seen since probably 2018
Early afternoon temps on Sunday 12/5. Even if you warmed these 5-10 degrees still would be a hell of a cold shot for early December 
Snow
Snow
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
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Eh what's going on off shore is more likely tied to the -10c 850s riding over the gulf stream rather than a true system being too far SE.
Lots of support from ensembles 
Control supports the deep trough from the op but the only snow which is light is in TN/AL/Ms which seems to be common on the back side of these deep cold troughs. Most of the ensembles are empty for us. Best signal is to the west for any snow. They might not be picking up on some potential light/convective stuff as the upper trough passes though but I wouldn't bet on it.