Pattern Novemburrr

[Mr. Golf]

Just not convinced yet be honest with u Kevin…

I think it will be an intense quick cold shot imo.

 

[SD]

You are correct. I’ve said several times that if those of us outside the mountains are gonna score this winter, it’s gotta happen in the first half. Though the Niña is predicted to weaken as we go later in the season, climo favors predominantly mild air taking over from about Jan 10 on, and could be a total torch by February

Yeah I feel like the SER is more of a 2nd half feature but the potential upwelling in the pac over the next few weeks makes me wonder if we see the SER as more of a wall to wall feature in Jan and we see it break down in Feb as the nina potentially falls apart

 

[Storm5]

View attachment 94926
View attachment 94928

E50 and call it a winter


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[SD]

E50 and call it a winter


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Deal??

 

[Webberweather53]

This upper low becomes the feature to watch around turkey day View attachment 94929
View attachment 94930
A phase with the northern stream and cut its a concern. This time of year you have to thread the needle a little more versus in the dead of winter as well. If it doesn't get channeled and sheared and can move in on the heels of a fresh cold air mass you might have something

I hope it only gives me snow ?

 

[Webberweather53]

It’s crazy to think that the last bout of precip I had here was from a thunderstorm in September, the next time I see water fall from the sky, it may very well be snow. Skipping cold rain szn

 

[SD]

I hope it only gives me snow ?

You probably have a better chance from it than us TBH.

 

[Mr. Golf]

Deal??

SD, matt hugo said yesterday on Twitter that he believes the niña should be east based as time goes on. I think that is better for a colder outcome for us typically

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Large area of snow moving through Ohio atm that’s what gonna cause snow for Ashe, Watauga, Allegheny. Don’t know if the current snow is making it to the ground over Virginia

 

[tennessee storm]

SD, matt hugo said yesterday on Twitter that he believes the niña should be east based as time goes on. I think that is better for a colder outcome for us typically

We going have to deal with the SE ridge most of winter this season, almost a given…

 

[Mr. Golf]

We going have to deal with the SE ridge most of winter this season, almost a given…

Stalled out frontal boundaries get me excited ?

 

[BirdManDoomW]

WWA out for 3” snow by Blacksburg for some, SPS will be out later for up to 2” snow for other MTN counties. Checked the short term guidance and around 4am Monday there is medium chance of wind snow for Wilkes and Caldwell and maybe some other foothill counties. Wind advisories also to be expanded south later today. Cold.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lucky wavebreaking it is

 

[tennessee storm]

Stalled out frontal boundaries get me excited ?

Not when they set up north of I 44…

 

[LukeBarrette]

Large area of snow moving through Ohio atm that’s what gonna cause snow for Ashe, Watauga, Allegheny. Don’t know if the current snow is making it to the ground over Virginia

It’s just light flurries at most in VA

 

[Webberweather53]

Lucky wavebreaking it is View attachment 94937View attachment 94938View attachment 94939View attachment 94940

Pattern looks ripe for a Miller A coastal cyclone, just better hope it doesn’t get handed off to the mid Atlantic

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Pattern looks ripe for a Miller A coastal cyclone, just better hope it doesn’t get handed off to the mid Atlantic

Is DC still in their snow drought or did they finally get a storm last year I remember when it was comical how much DC missed out on big events

 

[Tarheel1]

View attachment 94923

Always, always, need cold air first!

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Past 5 runs … blocking said ???

 

[Met1985]

I hit 20 this morning with everything in a thick coating of frost.