Fountainguy97
Member
Ah yes. There you are. Looks like models keep the fall weather around this time. The leaf season down here around 2,000 has really stalled out. Trees have been in this weird yellow/green state for two weeks. Hopefully this will finish the job and we get some good color locally.
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Fairly mpressive line gets going on the 3k as wellSeems like a decent model consensus on a 5-8pm fropa for the triangle. I’ll always lean to the later side of guidance. 12k 06z has a 20F drop in 3 hours at RDU
Lows here have been anywhere from upper 50s to low 60s. Not sure who experienced mid 70s? ?Thats what weeks on end of what used to be summer time lows will do (they are in the mid 70s these days).
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probably downtown Atlanta in the middle of the concrete jungle.Lows here have been anywhere from upper 50s to low 60s. Not sure who experienced mid 70s? ?
Mid 70s? RDU average july low is barely over 70 on the new normals . Don’t you say RDU has crazy UHI? Lmao . This ain’t coastal south Florida dude , not even Florida’s interior has lows that high for the most part on average .Thats what weeks on end of what used to be summer time lows will do (they are in the mid 70s these days).
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Strength is dance fighting.probably downtown Atlanta in the middle of the concrete jungle.
Return the jewel and lift the cuss.probably downtown Atlanta in the middle of the concrete jungle.
The back and forth continues .. I highly doubt we see an airmass this cold but the fact that it’s being print out at 222 peaks my interest. This is the power of blocking in any case so we will watch.. makes you wonder what could be printed out in November .. also gives you thoughts on that early winter start that stratospheric warming could bring us..
I never tried it. I still love the chicken dance.I used to be a pretty good breakdancer in the 80s.
Lows here have been anywhere from upper 50s to low 60s. Not sure who experienced mid 70s?![]()
Mid 70s? RDU average july low is barely over 70 on the new normals . Don’t you say RDU has crazy UHI? Lmao . This ain’t coastal south Florida dude , not even Florida’s interior has lows that high for the most part on average .
With the amplitude of the Canadian ridge we might actually tap some true polar/Arctic air and drive it southward. The omega block across the conus makes me nervous though and has the potential to be a spectacular model fail so that makes me nervous.The back and forth continues .. I highly doubt we see an airmass this cold but the fact that it’s being print out at 222 peaks my interest. This is the power of blocking in any case so we will watch.. makes you wonder what could be printed out in November .. also gives you thoughts on that early winter start that stratospheric warming could bring us..
Personally I don't want an airmass that cold this early. I just want pleasant 70 degree temps for a solid month.The back and forth continues .. I highly doubt we see an airmass this cold but the fact that it’s being print out at 222 peaks my interest. This is the power of blocking in any case so we will watch.. makes you wonder what could be printed out in November .. also gives you thoughts on that early winter start that stratospheric warming could bring us..
It’ll get over the apps the following week! ?
You ain't lying especially with the gfs trying to go ++++++ tilt with the trough with less of a -nao and bounce it out so quickly.It’ll get over the apps the following week! ?
SD, I have a question. If that trough is a common occurrence this winter out west, will we have to have an intense -ao/nao to overpower it for us to get a cold stormy pattern here? Just wonderingYou ain't lying especially with the gfs trying to go ++++++ tilt with the trough with less of a -nao and bounce it out so quickly.
Yep hence why I’m not holding my breath for anything spectacular but always fun to watch and seeWith the amplitude of the Canadian ridge we might actually tap some true polar/Arctic air and drive it southward. The omega block across the conus makes me nervous though and has the potential to be a spectacular model fail so that makes me nervous.
We will eventually get cool and stay cool but it takes longer in the south to establish thatYep hence why I’m not holding my breath for anything spectacular but always fun to watch and see
I originally thought you were discussing fall low temps feeling like summer lows. Seems pretty much pointless to bring it up in this thread.During the summer here yes low to mid 70s.
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All depends what u call cool…We will eventually get cool and stay cool but it takes longer in the south to establish that
Yeah we would really have to have some type of block near Hudson Bay into the west based -NAO regionSD, I have a question. If that trough is a common occurrence this winter out west, will we have to have an intense -ao/nao to overpower it for us to get a cold stormy pattern here? Just wondering
No even if I narrow it to a decade we still don’t have mid 70s lows . Also narrowing it to a decade would not be accurate . The WMO has the standard as 3 decades for a reason so your logic of colder decades skewing it is illogical . Personally I feel the WMO standard of 3 decades is too short and we should be using half century normals to account for ocean cycle variations and what not .The new normals still have the cooler decades skewing the numbers. Normals don't mean much when the climate is unstable.
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Finally you post something I can like !Personally I don't want an airmass that cold this early. I just want pleasant 70 degree temps for a solid month.
Weather here has been absolutely amazing this week. Had some wind Monday and Tuesday but yesterday today, tomorrow, and really the next week looks downright perfect. Highs in the 70s, lows in the 40s, & low humidity. I don’t miss sweating my butt off during Oct in NC.
I originally thought you were discussing fall low temps feeling like summer lows. Seems pretty much pointless to bring it up in this thread.