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Pattern October Thread

Dewpoint Dan said:
How's the foliage looking there ? You seeing a lot of color ?
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Not at all in the city anyway(I've heard some of the elevations in SE Oklahoma have some). It was so dry and hot for so long probably hurt it. They are thinking it will probably accelerate in the next couple weeks since we're getting some solid rains and cooler temps
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Well that’s uh a big difference View attachment 92554View attachment 92555
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The Happy Hour GFS says the 12Z Euro needs to go back to its prior version...do y'all realize that the 12Z Euro was the first 10 day run incorporating a major update? I just now did. So, maybe that's why it and the 12Z EPS changed so much vs 0z??

HH GFS:
gfsop_18_h500_nx_h_0210.png

12Z Euro (based on new version):
ecmop_12_h500_nx_h_0216.png
 
GaWx said:
Like night and day!!

18Z GFS 2M showing incoming chilly air:
View attachment 92587

12Z Euro is just a litle bit warmer:
View attachment 92588
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What these model runs are telling me is that some sort of a pattern change is about to take place… for better or worse. I have a feeling that we’re about to go into a fairly variable pattern with plenty of swings in temperatures.
 
GaWx said:
The Happy Hour GFS says the 12Z Euro needs to go back to its prior version...do y'all realize that the 12Z Euro was the first 10 day run incorporating a major update? I just now did. So, maybe that's why it and the 12Z EPS changed so much vs 0z??

HH GFS:
View attachment 92585

12Z Euro (based on new version):
View attachment 92586
Click to expand...

Well that is a way to do it. Instead of making the GFS better, just wait until they make the Euro worse.

Model communism.
 
Well ICON says it agrees with the Gfs has a fairly big upper low headed our direction. Gfs doubles down and says yeah fall is actually going to stick around for a while.. hmmm
 
? C69E2E07-D469-4F28-AB2F-426BC47FAC2D.png
 
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smast16 said:
We would have the same 500Mb heights in NC as portions of the Arctic Circle...
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Canadian agrees but it kinda sucks that there's no really good way to force the cold south and we are fairly zonal under the block. It's a decent setup for us to get the ever elusive widespread rain
 
Y’all can weenie the posts all you want but it looks like that warm euro run was just a fluke and it was just getting it’s feet off the ground with the new update.. that euro run really raised some eyebrows .. decent rains and some storms along with below normal 850s and that nice big upper level low … but we all know with these things they will flip flop a ton so I certainly don’t think we’ve seen the final product of what’s to come of the pattern .. but st least it won’t be burning and maybe just maybe it won’t be humid either
 
NickyBGuarantee said:
Y’all can weenie the posts all you want...
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I don't need your permission. :p

Just be glad @SD hasn't added the clown reaction I requested yet. ?

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sausage-throw.gif
 
FallsLake said:
10 days out (for mid day Oct 23rd), but wouldn't this shock everybody:
View attachment 92640
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The first cold rain CAD so beautiful.. almost as if it’s starting up right where it left off in may .. here we go ? … sucks cause if this was in December or January this has Miller B written all over it
 
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