Pattern Swamptember 2021

[SD]

Here comes a ridge lol View attachment 90579

Another plains bomb too. I could get behind that type of pattern

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Gfs finally constantly showing nice fall fronts bless up!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That N pac jet extension could put us in a ugly heat dome if we’re not careful, I’m actually not trolling lol, the GFS is more progressive with it

 

[Tarheel1]

Winner

 

[Myfrotho704_]

oof

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Rip homies north and west of us … SE low key getting the best part of the ridge .. we won’t be frying at least … if u live in Chicago rip

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Rip homies north and west of us … SE low key getting the best part of the ridge .. we won’t be frying at least … if u live in Chicago rip

Don’t forget to there averages are dropping/lower then us which is why it seems like there roasting on those maps more, are averages are still in the mid 80s

 

[SD]

Anybody got them day 10-15 eps anomaly maps? Mean is upper 70s here for the high by the end of the run

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Anybody got them day 10-15 eps anomaly maps? Mean is upper 70s here for the high by the end of the run

Isn't your mean in the upper 70s in July ?

 

[SD]

Isn't your mean in the upper 70s in July ?

The mean high temp of the ensemble suite is in the upper 70s

 

[Tarheel1]

oof View attachment 90597

Looks like the upcoming December- February pattern!??

 

[Tarheel1]

Ima need some weather forecasts for next weekend, I’m coming back for a visit

 

[SD]

Ima need some weather forecasts for next weekend, I’m coming back for a visit

Hot humid maybe a storm

 

[SD]

Down to 65 already if dews were lower I'd think we could get into the 40s but we are going to hit a wall on cooling soon

 

[SWVAwxfan]

Anyone up for a hurricane chase to Greenland?

 

[RBR71]

51.6 this morning perfect running weather

 

[cd2play]

The 2nd half of September looks like a copy-and-paste of September 2018. UGH!!!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The 2nd half of September looks like a copy-and-paste of September 2018. UGH!!!

At least it’s not as bad as 2019, pools were still open in early October with fall color lol that was such a weird feeling !

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Man what a persistent ridge on the GFS

 

[SD]

Man what a persistent ridge on the GFS

It'll get here one day!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

It'll get here one day!

Starting tomorrow, this setup will probably be hotter then the eastern ridge shown later

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

As long as we’re on the cooler part of the ridge with help from tropical clouds to keep temps down it’s fine by me

 

[Myfrotho704_]

As long as we’re on the cooler part of the ridge with help from tropical clouds to keep temps down it’s fine by me

Gefs means around day 8-12 have risen to the upper 80s/around 90 already, along with humidity

 

[SD]

Starting tomorrow, this setup will probably be hotter then the eastern ridge shown later View attachment 90639

Yeah tomorrow and especially Monday and Tuesday are going to be heating a dry air mass in place, I bet we bust high on temps. Once we get past D5 that whole pattern is messy, ridging looks preferred but what gets trapped underneath it and are we in a SW/S/SE flow

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[SD]

View attachment 90648View attachment 90649View attachment 90650

Does this have analog years? If any of these waves leaving Africa don't recurve we gonna hurricane

 

[SD]

Wouldn't be surprised to see us continually wave break in the N Atlantic and at least attempt to go into a scandy ridge-> -nao evolution late Sept/Early Oct

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Wouldn't be surprised to see us continually wave break in the N Atlantic and at least attempt to go into a scandy ridge-> -nao evolution late Sept/Early Oct

What is a scandy ridge ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

What is a scandy ridge ?

Scandinavian ridge

 

[SD]

What is a scandy ridge ?

This guy over Scandinavia


Often but not always a precursor to a -nao event

 

[SD]

Remember when the euro was different than the gfs at D10 the euro was usually right

 

[Tarheel1]

This guy over Scandinavia
View attachment 90651

Often but not always a precursor to a -nao event

Is Scandinavia the same latitude as Buenos Aries?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Remember when the euro was different than the gfs at D10 the euro was usually rightView attachment 90652
View attachment 90653

Wonder who wins that one

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS says euro is slighty to west coast ridge happy

 

[Ward Cleaver]

The cooler air seems to be huddled on the WEST side of the Apps through much of the rest of the month. What a complete ? show. Congratulations to the rest of y’all.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The cooler air seems to be huddled on the WEST side of the Apps through much of the rest of the month. What a complete ? show. Congratulations to the rest of y’all.

 

[Tarheel1]

The cooler air seems to be huddled on the WEST side of the Apps through much of the rest of the winter. What a complete ? show. Congratulations to the rest of y’all, enjoy your cold rain!

???