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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

Looks like another upper level low energy for us.. except this time we are in a better time of year where we won’t need as much as we did earlier in December .. it’ll be easier to get some good snow under the cold pocket whoever gets it... we all know how upper level lows work here... under modeled and usually over preforms ??‍♂️
 
Cadi40 said:
Certainly getting close, a few more trends and we may have a decent storm on our hands.
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This is getting much closer than I thought it would be, even still, my expectations with this system is very low, but the EPS showing it decently is a bit intriguing, and it’s getting better
 
As the SSWE’s circulation temp anomalies propagate downward into the troposphere by later in the 2nd week of January, we will see cross polar flow begin to develop and dump colder air into N America.
The ridge building north of Alaska in the arctic circle will be our conduit that starts to send Siberian air into N America by the 3rd week of the month, hence why I think that period and slightly beyond holds the most promise for snow in the southern us.
Any storms before the 3rd-4th week of January is probably gonna be gravy imo

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Webberweather53 said:
As the SSWE’s circulation temp anomalies propagate downward into the troposphere by later in the 2nd week of January, we will see cross polar flow begin to develop and dump colder air into N America.
The ridge building north of Alaska in the arctic circle will be our conduit that starts to send Siberian air into N America by the 3rd week of the month, hence why I think that period and slightly beyond holds the most promise for snow in the southern us.
Any storms before the 3rd-4th week of January is probably gonna be gravy imo

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This of course isn’t to say we can’t see snow before then, the pattern generally looks marginally favorable from about I40 and pts north during the first 10-12 days of the month and arguably really good for the mid Atlantic.
Things just look a lot less marginal the following week or so in January imo
 
ajr said:
Not optimistic, but as others have said, not the worst trends either:

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Yeah this one is close enough to get my attention but really seems like it's going to favor areas just to our north. Good setup though to maybe end the rain as a brief snow shower
 
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Myfrotho704_ said:
could get a big one here View attachment 61672View attachment 61673edit.......View attachment 61674
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It’s been my findings that a big dog SE snow usually is a result of a S/W dropping south and east out of the Four Corners, across Texas , into the GOM, across or just south of the FL Panhandle, and up the East Coast passing 100-150 east of Hatteras on a NNE heading. That is usually coupled with a good strong HP across the upper Midwest to press the cold into the moisture.
 
Trade of a more southern track for less “confluence” if you wanna call it that, ahh cold pocket aloft type things
 
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