Brent
Member
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
October Odyssey
- Thread starter Myfrotho704_
- Start date
I would take this pattern in winter all. day. long compared to what we've been getting in winters of late. Summer is gone!
Thats actually pleasant, in texas this, time of year.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Interesting news! Some more equivalency to the NAM!
Denver Colorado went from snow/freeze to back in the 90s coming soon. I wouldn’t rule out 90s back this way October/November.
While I’m never surprised to see a few 80 degree days in October and maybe a couple in early November, 90s would probably be a stretch the further we get into October. Even the heat wave last year in early October was very anomalous and downright historical for its intensity. It also had the fact help of the flash drought from last September leaving very little soil moisture, which certainly isn’t an issue this year. Also just the fact that as we get past mid October, there’s just not enough daylight to see temperatures get to the 90s.
Never say never, I guess, but an extended period back into the upper 80s or 90s with humidity? I'm betting against it. We good.
It would take a hurricane to bring the humidity and perhaps a track that misses us to bring 90s..prob very low chance but season is active
90’s are done for most on the board. Put a fork in it.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Dewpoint Dan
Member
90s in Oct is a once in a lifetime occurrence.
Where?
It’s certainly not in North Carolina. I can remember a number of times in my lifetime that we had 90 degree days in early October. Now the longevity of last year’s September/early October heatwave was certainly historic.
A quick look at RDU highest max temp records for October show 90 or above was achieved 10 of 133 years, going back to 1887. Roughly 7% chance (or 1 every 14 years). Of note, not a single 90 degree day has ever been recorded after October 10.
Also, RDU somehow hit 100 on 10/3 just last year. Completely forgot about that.
Also, RDU somehow hit 100 on 10/3 just last year. Completely forgot about that.
So if you live to be 14 years, it's a roughly once in a lifetime event. HT to SERidge on the call!
I thought dewpointdan is SEridge?
In his defense, it is once in a lifetime for a dog.
Cohreck!
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
How many models do y’all need to see, to track a rainy winter storm??
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Are the leaves changing color there yet ?
It's still for the most part in beta mode, being that he has lots of models, parameters, to add on. He also said that he's planning on improving mobile soon.
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
Yes! Patchy, but a few maples are looking amazing
BufordWX
Member
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
2025 Supporter
I still hate the GFS! ??
Aren't October's supposed to be dry?
Eps trying to go full scandy/ural ridge into a -nao. 
It seems like our area, along with a narrow strip through the central SE (like shown above) have been constantly hit the last couple of months. Tropical storms being redirected NE is one cause but we've also received additional heavy precip events more times than other SE locations (..it seems). I would really love to see that this winter. But you know how that goes...
Like I said, if no tropics would be hot and drought. Thanks for Sally/Beta/others it’s muddy and cool. Here lately it’s been rain from tropical cyclones or NADA.
I mean a good percentage of our avg summer precip is driven by tropical systems so it's not exactly a surprise
whatalife
Moderator
Would be nice to ride this into winter. After all...Aren’t we due for a setup like this for winter (for a change).
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Honestly, I wouldn’t want a wet/active STJ in winter.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
2020 would be the year.Would be nice to ride this into winter. After all...Aren’t we due for a setup like this for winter (for a change).
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
More ice than snow this year
I agree. With La Nina a lot of the cold should be bottled up to our NW. We should (hopefully) be able to tap into that cold with more CAD events this year. I could even see us ending up above normal with temps but still getting at least three or four wintery threats (via CAD).
Actually some meteorologist think tropical systems help bring down colder weather in the winter months.
I figure we don't completely say goodbye to 80s, but after Tues, there is nothing but sub 72 weather until almost mid Oct. Of course, a warm up in mid or late Oct can easily produce low 80s. Can almost certainly say 90s are over until April or May.
nrgjeff over at American is saying winter will be toast since the QBO is positive along with a mod. Nina.. Need to read up more on QBO, because it's nearly meaningless to me.
nrgjeff over at American is saying winter will be toast since the QBO is positive along with a mod. Nina.. Need to read up more on QBO, because it's nearly meaningless to me.
BufordWX
Member
GFS with some mountain snow at the end of the run.
If this is a persistent pattern this winter, the mountains are going to have crazy snow at least.. I think we see low snow totals in low elevations but periods of intense cold this winter...