If we get storms on Friday, falling trees are going to become a major issue with the saturated soil.
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5/18/20 - 5/23/20 Upper Low Flooding & Severe Threat
- Thread starter Webberweather53
- Start date
If we get storms on Friday, falling trees are going to become a major issue with the saturated soil.
BufordWX
Member
I just saw that the 18z NAM wants to give my area almost an inch of rain overnight tonight. That would be a little surprising.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
JHS
Member
This reminds me of June into July 2013. That got off to a slow start here, but when it was over we had a TON of rain. The pattern broke with a SW moving MCS that produced many wind reports over both Carolinas and into GA.
Nam 3km is sure fun, under 48 hours and theres 3 rounds of deep convection, and a constant surge of MUcape/big PWATs to aid in rates
1st NWS decision support briefing calls for 7 to 8” for Boone.
BufordWX
Member
I gotta give the HRRRv4 some credit. It showed showers and storms developing after midnight and here I am now surrounded by them. 
Did 0z Euro another increase in rain amounts?
12z
00z
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12z EPS
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
On the board with. 02 this morning.
Ive picked up 0.10 of rain for May so far. I’m really excited about some Summer storms today guys. It’s been awhile!
BufordWX
Member
I ended up picking up .18 from that group of showers and storms earlier this morning.
BufordWX
Member
12z HRRR looks very wet for upstate SC and western NC. Widespread 3-4+ inch rain totals and this only goes through Tuesday evening.
Jessy89
Member
Already got 0.78” from this thunderstorm batch moving through this morning. Here in Pickens county
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BufordWX
Member
That batch doesn’t look like it’s in a hurry and it’s dropping lots of rain. I saw some radar estimates of over 2 inches in some spots and it’s not even noon yet.
Jessy89
Member
It’s actually still raining and approaching a inch now. Maybe this morning batch saves us from severe weather later
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BufordWX
Member
Any storms that do try to get going in your area could pose more of a flooding risk given the rain that’s already fallen.
.41" last night. It never fails to rain within 24 hours of me watering my garden. If anyone needs rain just let me know and I'll come water your garden for guaranteed rainfall.
I watered my grass on Saturday anticipating a chance for rain today, and of course I get .5" last night. No complaints here though.
BufordWX
Member
A few storms already trying to form in central GA. It will be interesting to see what will happen today. I’m hoping for at least one storm.
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
Already 2.66 for me and we're just after kickoff! Crazy!
Jessy89
Member
Already 2.66 for me and we're just after kickoff! Crazy!
Environment must be ripe to. Look at the storms already trying to pop up and it’s not even noon yet.
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Jessy89
Member
I wouldn’t at all be surprised to see these storms try to rotate. Especially if the environment gets unstable enough in the heat of the day.
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Parameters are not there for tornadoes. It’s largely flash flooding expect initially some wind threat is possible today before becoming overly saturated.
7.88” in the Chicago area already. Surprised given it has a history of flooding there is no flash flood watch.
Snowflowxxl
Member
Suns out! Thought today was suppose to be a washout lol
Nice weakly rotating supercell southwest* of Columbia 
Dawgdaze22
Member
Sunny and humid here in Alpharetta. Makes me wonder if this will allow for stronger storms later??
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Id love to break up this cloud deck now
The 0z Euro pushed the heavier precip further east and the UK has done the same the past couple of runs. We shall see if the 12z Euro does the same or ticks back to the east and keeps it confined west of 85.
Looks to also be increasing in SC midlands.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Here comes the first of many waves of rain.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This Euro run sets up a "death band" of precip along I-77.
gawxnative
Member
As FYI these started as "Pop Ups" down near the I-16 corridor east of Macaon, and another "group" is starting up now. Looks like models have a pretty good handle on this for the prog'd heavy rainfall rates in Upstate.