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Severe Severe Wx Threat: March 28-31, 2017

Jackson Mississippi NWS graphics
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Will this system make a shift south???

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Not too familiar with the HRRR Model but I do see new convection starting to pop at hour 18 on the 22Z run over Northern MS.
 
if the atmosphere can recovery in time... things cold get quite ugly along and just west of the ms river tomorrow after lunch for parts of the midsouth... with a strong jet streak overhead cutting over that region... things should clear out quite nicely in the morning from earlier showers n storms...
 
tennessee storm said:
if the atmosphere can recovery in time... things cold get quite ugly along and just west of the ms river tomorrow after lunch for parts of the midsouth... with a strong jet streak overhead cutting over that region... things should clear out quite nicely in the morning from earlier showers n storms...
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That would certainly be concerning! I assume the early morning convection would be the only inhibitor?
 
Sheash if the 0z NAM is correct the main show will be possibly be the beast of a MCV that gets roaring along the coast.
 
nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_30.png

00z 3k Nam is not a great look for parts of AL/GA looks like a narrowing window where Cape/shear/lift will all be healthy before dies that could have some severe storms going sw to ne
 
I have not looked much at this, but looks like it could pack a punch. East of AL looks less likely, but we shall see
 
The wedge will weaken this squall line. I know in Atlanta it will. Well......a 75% chance anyways. The wedge always wins.
 
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