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Tropical Major Hurricane Lorenzo

Brent

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Lorenzo is coming but it looks like it will stay well out to sea

Satellite imagery indicates that a broad area of low pressure has
formed in association with a strong tropical wave over the far
eastern Atlantic. The associated thunderstorm activity continues
to show signs of organization, and a tropical depression or
tropical storm is expected to form later today or tonight while
the system moves generally westward over the eastern tropical
Atlantic at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should
monitor the progress of this disturbance. Regardless of development,
this system is likely to bring locally heavy rainfall and gusty
winds to portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the
next day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

90L_tracks_latest.png
 
Not saying this means much but the Euro has much less trough interaction with the low
Edit: Euro officially breaks the trough, however at 35N
ecmwf_mslpa_atl_10.png
ecmwf_mslpa_atl_11.png

The Icon looks very ominous if I'm reading this correctly, breaks the trough
icon_z500_mslp_atl_61.png
 
Not saying this means much but the Euro has much less trough interaction with the low
Edit: Euro officially breaks the trough, however at 35N
ecmwf_mslpa_atl_10.png
ecmwf_mslpa_atl_11.png

The Icon looks very ominous if I'm reading this correctly, breaks the trough
icon_z500_mslp_atl_61.png
The top photo looks great! Would come right into the SE!! Bringing rains!
 
I'd need the other 500 mb map on the ICON but my guess without playing the map in tropicaltidbits would be both go OTS.
 
Happy Hour is in and it looks like its going to go OTS.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_9.png
 
Azores May need to watch this for a hurricane landfall. Few models show this
 
11:00 AM AST Mon Sep 23
Location: 11.1°N 24.1°W
Moving: W at 18 mph
Min pressure: 1006 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph

Should stay ots..

1569251201643.png
 
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