Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Boy, this looks awfully familiar, the Jan 28-29 2014 storm trended NW like crazy at the last minute...
Can we actually do something right for once here.
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Boy, this looks awfully familiar, the Jan 28-29 2014 storm trended NW like crazy at the last minute...
Can we actually do something right for once here.
Wow when we need the SER it’s not there if that was to flex a little to the west that could also help us out.
Any prediction would just be a wild guess by anyone pretty much. If you mean a hard freeze, hopefully not but still way too early to say. But I wouldn't bet against a light freeze in NW Mississippi.
The 12Z EPS mean was colder for March 11 with a light freeze very close.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The first step to doing this right is to actually hold the pattern for a few more days unlike the weekend storm that's obviously dissolved into oblivion. If the base of the trough lags just a smidge over the midwest we virtually have a Jan 28-29 2014 overrunning look verbatim except probably a little warmer this time given the time of year but the airmass is probably sufficient to produce wintry weather anyway considering how many keep comparing this to March 1960 intensity-wise anyways.
snowlover91
Member
These coastal setups are usually pretty sensitive to 5h changes so I expect we will see things shifting around the next few days as models try to nail the details down. Seeing the UK much stronger vs the Euro is a telling sign that this one will take some time to figure out. Hopefully we can get it to trend in our favor because the first system is definitely not a winter threat anymore.
Euro v/s UK, just need the low to dig further SW like the UK and sharper trough. Would imagine the atlantic ridge will be stronger as we get closer, been that way all winter.
Yeah, UKMET has a much sharper positively tilted trof, it’s interesting because the UK has a flatter look out west with a ULL about to hit or hitting Seattle and euro wants to develop more of a Poor mans block near Greenland, I guess that’s why it’s so suppressed?
pcbjr
Member
Tacoma
Member
Now tell me why can't we get moisture in the southeast with that kind of temps showing up for next week. gheeeeeeezzzzzzzz
packfan98
Moderator
Incoming for AL and north GA at 135 on the gfs!
packfan98
Moderator
Snow into NC at 138
GFS trying for another Deep South rug pull
packfan98
Moderator
Nice looking overrunning event on the Happy Hour GFS!
packfan98
Moderator
Pretty lengthy event on the gfs. Still going strong in NC at 150.
David Lowery
Member
Looking good gfs for once
Snowflowxxl
Member
Its Happy Hour! GFS a good hit for some folks on here. The weather pattern is #active
Trof is more positivity tilted allowing more room for overrunning into the southeast, happy hour indeed ! 
Please don't let this turn into another rainy cutter
That was a big 6 hour jump. Another one like that and it’s an apps runner..toe the line
Snowflowxxl
Member
That warm nose is a ***** for GA and SC on the savannah river.
Do you see any similarities, sure warmer BC time of the year but hmmmm
Snowflowxxl
Member
Cold air coming over the mountains? Looks like we have some HP reinforcement to the east but that’s going to need to be a good bit stronger if SC wants in on the action
I Just realized that, welp lmao ?
Oh man this better not do what I think its gonna do by 12z tomorrow
Cary_Snow95
Member
Gfs with widespread 4-5” across central NC
It will be glorious! You learn to revel in the disappointment as the years go by. It becomes part of the fun I promise
Umm I’ll go ahead and take that run as a W after the poop runs we’ve been having ... the first storm trended so negative that it made the other storm trend positive ... you love to see it
God I hope not
Can we get some twin support??
I really don’t think we have to worry too much about this one seeming that that storm before will surely bring the cold air right on in after it passes us with its current modeled strength
Fv3 took steps towards what the Gfs is showing just need a few more runs to hopefully solidify it
Tacoma
Member
guys are things going in the right direction for a change, don't we need another model or two to jump on board?
The new GFS probably shouldn’t be a surprise ... it’s ensembles have been recently painting the picture of this second system happening looking similar as this 18z run. Let’s see how they look now...