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Pattern August Rush

SD said:
Yo ....its hot today

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93 glorious degrees right now but surprisingly I see a few thunderstorms have popped this afternoon.

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metwannabe said:
93 glorious degrees right now but surprisingly I see a few thunderstorms have popped this afternoon.

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Yeah a little surprised as well but there is an axis of higher instability from rdu northward to around DC. Wouldn't be surprised to see a few more pop up and die off as the outflows move south.

Really starting to think Friday to Monday will bring some decent coverage and may leave a good part of the area with at least some rain. We may beat back highs as well and stick more in the 85-88 range those days.

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Eric said:
Before they moved the sensor in 1998, Charlotte used to have the highest nighttime low temperatures in the region.
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I had a reading 20 miles away, about 5pm of 88, and my two remotes were reading 79 and 81. It's happened all summer. I can't remember a wall to wall cool summer like this one starting with a cold April. No mosquitoes until June, very few days in the 90's and no where near 100. I've not had one uncomfortable night all summer and I use a window fan, so that's saying something, and I've been here since 81. Close to twenty inches of rain is what did it, I'm convinced, all things being equal. There were some terrible high humidity days, but it never seemed hot like I'm used to. Maybe a day or two...or three.
And now the spiders are talking again, lol. Everywhere I go around here I plow thru massive web runners. 10 to 20 foot spans since early Aug. The last two times they impressed me with their web making like this, it hit near 0, and they didn't start those until fall...but those suckers were a hundred feet, or more, draping everywhere you looked...way, way up in the trees, all the way down to the ground. If this blends into that, starting so early...well... All I'm saying is you better find you some alpaca undies folks, if the websters get to saying something, lol. T
 
Heads up Gulf coast, Florida, and the rest of the deep south. It's that time of the year again.



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I'm outside working and here a beautiful loud clap of thunder, look up to see this cloud and then reality check, looked at radar... Lol oh well
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metwannabe said:
I'm outside working and here a beautiful loud clap of thunder, look up to see this cloud and then reality check, looked at radar... Lol oh well
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2 days into this pattern and I hate it. Rain chances this weekend have gone into the toilet and we are probably 2 weeks out from seeing any type of change to cooler or wetter.

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SD said:
2 days into this pattern and I hate it. Rain chances this weekend have gone into the toilet and we are probably 2 weeks out from seeing any type of change to cooler or wetter.

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I said this over the weekend, and I’m all Debbie Downer! Some people just can’t handle the truth!
 
Tarheel1 said:
I said this over the weekend, and I’m all Debbie Downer! Some people just can’t handle the truth!
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If you had asked me even 2 days ago I was pretty set on the idea of this pattern starting to relax by 9/10 then a period of troughing and cooler shortly after. Now I'm beginning to think it'll be at least 9/15 before we see any breaking down and possibly the 9/20-25 period before any real troughs get into the east.

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SD said:
If you had asked me even 2 days ago I was pretty set on the idea of this pattern starting to relax by 9/10 then a period of troughing and cooler shortly after. Now I'm beginning to think it'll be at least 9/15 before we see any breaking down and possibly the 9/20-25 period before any real troughs get into the east.

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If we get to about Sept 15-20 and there is still no real sign of this pattern breaking down, I might start having visions the fall season we had 2 years ago.
 
SD said:
If you had asked me even 2 days ago I was pretty set on the idea of this pattern starting to relax by 9/10 then a period of troughing and cooler shortly after. Now I'm beginning to think it'll be at least 9/15 before we see any breaking down and possibly the 9/20-25 period before any real troughs get into the east.

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Atleast we have some tropical activities to keep us busy, maybe!
 
SD said:
Nope more heat. Think we are heading to a top 10 warm September

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Yeah, it looks that way, at least at this preliminary lead. 12z GFS is just brutal (from a 500mb standpoint) through pretty much the end of the run. Highest temps for this area are not much above 90, though. So I guess that's not as bad as it could be. And not much rain to speak of for the most part either. I really do not want to see dry conditions develop through the fall, although a week or two break from all of the rain is fine with me.
 
Just brutal here this morning. 73 degrees and the a/c isn't working so I was sweating all night. Going to be 62 tonight, which should feel a little better.
 
This doesn't look to be any fun. Raleigh's average high after mid-September starts to approach upper 70's, can't wait until some cool weather comes.14-km EPS Global North America 5-day Avg T2M Anom 288 (1).png
 
94 for the high currently 92/72 with a Hi of 100. Probably looking at 95-96 93-94 Friday. We may back down more toward 90 by the weekend into the early to mid part of next week but another push into the 94-96 range looks like by Thursday and Friday of next week

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SD said:
94 for the high currently 92/72 with a Hi of 100. Probably looking at 95-96 93-94 Friday. We may back down more toward 90 by the weekend into the early to mid part of next week but another push into the 94-96 range looks like by Thursday and Friday of next week

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I can hear it and somebody in that one little spot is enjoying the afternoon
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SoutheastRidge said:
Just brutal here this morning. 73 degrees and the a/c isn't working so I was sweating all night. Going to be 62 tonight, which should feel a little better.
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I know someone who started college in Upstate NY this week from Austin and they don't have AC at all :eek: Yesterday was brutal apparently
 
Brent said:
I know someone who started college in Upstate NY this week from Austin and they don't have AC at all :eek: Yesterday was brutal apparently
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Sneak-send him or her a cooler full of Lone Star, with a reminder to look back on this weather in January ... LOL
 
metwannabe said:
I can hear it and somebody in that one little spot is enjoying the afternoon
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Call me crazy but we might have a 24 hour period here where we might have a decent chance at showers and storms. Even with the crazy rainfall from mid July to mid august im starting to see some signs of heat and dry stress on yards around the neighborhood. Day after day of unrelenting sun and highs 90-95 will make quick work of zapping soil moisture

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Ok Crazy
SD said:
Call me crazy but we might have a 24 hour period here where we might have a decent chance at showers and storms. Even with the crazy rainfall from mid July to mid august im starting to see some signs of heat and dry stress on yards around the neighborhood. Day after day of unrelenting sun and highs 90-95 will make quick work of zapping soil moisture

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Getting ready to have a good storm roll through. Already had one come through around 11. This one looks to be more intense. Wasn't expecting this tonight.
 
August 2018 is going to end with almost exactly average temps, since 1870. I'm going to say, without trying to start an argument, that 20-50 years ago, given the same 500 mb pattern, this August would have been BN in temp. AGW made this month close to avg. when it should have been BN. Highest temp all month: 94.
 
whamby said:
August 2018 is going to end with almost exactly average temps, since 1870. I'm going to say, without trying to start an argument, that 20-50 years ago, given the same 500 mb pattern, this August would have been BN in temp. AGW made this month close to avg. when it should have been BN. Highest temp all month: 94.
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I think that's about the same case here. Hasn't hit 90 that much at all except maybe a few days the entire month.
 
Average for august was 78.4 which was basically normal. Max temp 95.4 min 57.1 total rain 12.52 17 days of 90+

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