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Pattern May Flowers

Snowfan said:
It would be Mayhem if the pattern goes back and forth like it's been doing the last few weeks.
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Hopefully, it continues. It is still spring and the back and forth makes the wx much more interesting. We'll probably have nearly 3 months of monotonous and uncomfy heat/humidity day after day June-August.
 
GaWx said:
Hopefully, it continues. It is still spring and the back and forth makes the wx much more interesting. We'll probably have nearly 3 months of monotonous and uncomfy heat/humidity day after day June-August.
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All I was/am trying to point out in the initial post is ... who knows ... whoda thunk April after February?
Could be ... no ... will be ... interesting ... ;)
... and only 3 months ... what a blessing that would be ... :cool:
~~~~~~~~
In the meantime ... 'night all ... gotta get up at 5:00 and go walk in this nice cool N FL air ... :p
 
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Yay summer
 
any 'vegas' odds on if the ICON depicts snow activity in the mountains of Tn/NC in May? I'm talking 4500' or higher here... I say 16:1.
 
I'm a severe weather novice.. what are some of the things to look for on tropical tidbits maps that might indicate potential severe or tornadic systems?
 
I mean, obviously this is something to look for I guess for southern plains/midwest storms... but what else?
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Just to follow up ...

Brent may see some cool; looks like must of us should see a pleasant start to Mayflowers ...


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Anyone got the eps anomalies from day 10-15? I'm looking to put our bermuda grass next weekend but need highs at least in the 75-80 range to get good germination.

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SD said:
Anyone got the eps anomalies from day 10-15? I'm looking to put our bermuda grass next weekend but need highs at least in the 75-80 range to get good germination.

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I really thought after this heat dome a weekend from now , it’s supposed to get back into the 70s/50s regime again!
 
whamby said:
I'm a severe weather novice.. what are some of the things to look for on tropical tidbits maps that might indicate potential severe or tornadic systems?
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Look for Sbcape values over 1000, dew points over 60, bulk shear over 40kts, winds at at 850mb over 40knts. You of course want to look for troughs and vort maxes at 500mb. Look for LIs over -6.

That is just a few very basic things to get you started.
 
Tarheel1 said:
Would be a nice winter look! That +PNA ridge! Transient SE ridges are the best!
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Well, our SoutheastRidge poster is transient since he's in Indiana only temporarily. So, I guess that makes him the best!
 
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SD said:
Anyone got the eps anomalies from day 10-15? I'm looking to put our bermuda grass next weekend but need highs at least in the 75-80 range to get good germination.

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I do not see us getting really hot this year unless something changes. The big summer heat ridges should stay west of here, at least for a little while.

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

There is what i'm basing this on. The ridge should be in the 4 corners area to Texas most of the summer unless we really start to dry out.
 
JHS said:
I do not see us getting really hot this year unless something changes. The big summer heat ridges should stay west of here, at least for a little while.

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

There is what i'm basing this on. The ridge should be in the 4 corners area to Texas most of the summer unless we really start to dry out.
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That's usually a good indicator of where the extreme heat will be. Also, if the nino gets going that could also help us.
 
JHS said:
I do not see us getting really hot this year unless something changes. The big summer heat ridges should stay west of here, at least for a little while.

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

There is what i'm basing this on. The ridge should be in the 4 corners area to Texas most of the summer unless we really start to dry out.
Click to expand...

GaStorm said:
That's usually a good indicator of where the extreme heat will be. Also, if the nino gets going that could also help us.
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Good catch, y'all ... :cool:

Brief warm up and then indications are back to BN for most, and N for Larry and your Curmudgeon and a few others; not bad ...

814temp.new.gif

and (FWIW given the source) ...

CFSv2.NaT2m.20180427.201805.gif

CFSv2.NaT2mProb.20180427.201805.gif

and ...

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSTDEP2WIDE_12z/tloop.html
 
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JHS said:
I do not see us getting really hot this year unless something changes. The big summer heat ridges should stay west of here, at least for a little while.

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

There is what i'm basing this on. The ridge should be in the 4 corners area to Texas most of the summer unless we really start to dry out.
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Are you ok!? No 130s this year!?
 
GaStorm said:
That's usually a good indicator of where the extreme heat will be. Also, if the nino gets going that could also help us.
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Yep and soil moisture. They have almost 0 soil moisture in TX and OK and much of the four corners and that should let the heat ridge continuously self sustain. The SE is pretty moist over all, so that should temper widespread, extreme heat, IMO
 
9599F7D1-B6B9-46A1-9375-ED832FB01F7F.png DT with some good stuff on hurricane season. Good point as to why , IMO , Atlantic season will be below normal!
 
GFS seems pretty consistent with swinging in some upper 30s for my area Monday Morning. I wouldn't be shocked. Looks like after that though, it begins to warm up somewhat.
 
37/75 today...turned out to be an amazing spring afternoon! Looks like the 30s are over until fall for sure now.
 
Gonna end April with 5.19 of h2o.
Suppose to bottom out at 36 tonight. Could be last night in the 30s till October. Ugh. Love these days with highs in upper 50s low 60s,deep blue skies and no humidity or bugs. And no doubt dread what's on the horizon next 4 to 5 months.
Only 90 days till high school and college football practice starts.
 
MBell said:
37/75 today...turned out to be an amazing spring afternoon! Looks like the 30s are over until fall for sure now.[/QUOTE

No doubt, I think alot us are gonna miss these type of days. Maybe we can keep May tame and shorten down the 90 for highs and 65-70 dp days
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Greensboro averages 27 days a year hitting 90 or above. Seen seasons where we've gotten 50 plus of these. If we can stay at or below 27 , I consider it a big win. Espeacilly in light of what several posters on here expierence.
 

Much agreed!! We’ve been spoiled big time so far this year...aside from February lol.


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Memorial Day Weekend is approaching the dashboard. Please no severe storm outbreaks. I plan on enjoying the pool that weekend, not dodging lightning bolts, hail storms, and tornadoes! Much appreesh!
 
Almost to Omaha , does this count as my first plains severe weather experience ?
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