Wintry Winter Storm Dec 7-10

[Shawn]

Jeeze, this is going boom real fast, no other panels available though:

 

[MSnowAtl]

Your profile says Atlanta...damn big city we live in...what part? I live legitimately ITP and have no r/sn mix in The forecast.

College Park/ airport

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Wow at the UKMET!!!

 

[Clem282340]

If this storm gets more amped up does that mean temps will be a problem in the upstate

 

[RollTide18]

If this storm gets more amped up does that mean temps will be a problem in the upstate

Yes

 

[Webberweather53]

If this storm gets more amped up does that mean temps will be a problem in the upstate

Absolutely... Anyone that's not near the North Carolina State line well NW of I-85 is in trouble if this gets too amped

 

[tractor girl]

College Park/ airport

Decatur here.

 

[Showmeyourtds]

Decatur here.

I’m about a mile away from Agnes Scott, but my property is technically in the city of Atlanta.
So i’m guessing you & I aren’t too far away then.

It’s always peculiar when I key in different zip codes for weather.com& weather.gov. Oftentimes I put in a Decatur zip, I get a different forecast from when I put in my actual city of Atlanta zip. It’s really weird & no doubt will be here as we see FFC update their grids over the coming days... certainly a lot of model data to chew on

 

[SimeonNC]

I feel like we're going to have to nowcast this event as time goes on instead of relying on the models, I feel like the set up is too complex for a lot of the guidance to be grasped.

 

[tractor girl]

I'm a few miles east nearer to 285. I don't know what to make of the models this go. All I do know is that we are going to get cold rain. If something else materializes wonderful!

 

[cg2916]

GEFS ensemble mean indicates very slightly less amounts, more NW

 

[RollTide18]

@Webberweather53 would you consider the GFS an outlier or not?

 

[Webberweather53]

@Webberweather53 would you consider the GFS an outlier or not?

Yeah the GFS is even a southeastern outlier in its own ensemble suite (which is historically progressive, underdispersive and too far to the SE) and is southeast and suppressed (as usual) vs other guidance, and I would disregard it for now

 

[Webberweather53]

The GFS ensemble had a couple decent hits here in NC but most were either mountain/extreme NW piedmont hits and/or next to nothing southeast of Greensboro and Roxboro. Hopefully the Euro ensemble holds serve for RDU's sake

 

[WeatherWatch]

The GFS ensemble had a couple decent hits here in NC but most were either mountain/extreme NW piedmont hits and/or next to nothing southeast of Greensboro and Roxboro. Hopefully the Euro ensemble holds serve for RDU's sake
View attachment 1885

E17 looks reasonable for GA.

 

[RollTide18]

The GFS ensemble had a couple decent hits here in NC but most were either mountain/extreme NW piedmont hits and/or next to nothing southeast of Greensboro and Roxboro. Hopefully the Euro ensemble holds serve for RDU's sake
View attachment 1885

Thanks, was asking because a met here said he was leaning towards the GFS regarding this.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

E17 looks reasonable for GA.

E1 looks more reasonable than E17.

 

[Webberweather53]

E1 looks more reasonable than E17.

Nope definitely e8

 

[Snowflowxxl]

E6 or e8 are by far the most likely

 

[Webberweather53]

UKMET is a cold rain southeast of north Charlotte-Greensboro-Roxboro in NC, looks like some backside snow (albeit barely) for Atlanta and solidly so for central Alabama including Birmingham and even Montgomery