Wintry Winter 2018-19 Discussion

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Something else to watch... over the years I’ve noticed that the bulk of the well below normal cold has been focused in Siberia. If the seasonal models are picking things up correctly then it seems that cold will be centered on our side of the globe and dumped into the US. IF this indeed verifies and we have an active southern jet then it could make a lot of folks very happy.
 
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GaWx said:
What Phil and cd2 said. Cold relative to normal can't be everywhere. There's only so much cold air. Think of the warmth in Canada as blocking. Areas of blocking are warm relative to normal. In this case, cold air is sort of blocked from lingering too long in Canada and instead it comes south. When Canadian highs plunge down into the US, they're often replaced up there with warmer air. Still, much colder than normal in the US is typically as warm or warmer than much of Canada when Canada is much warmer than normal because it modifies after leaving its Canadian cold source. I'd say that for most cold SE winters, a good part of Canada is "warm".
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You are good, Larry ... ;)
 
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Greenville is a great place to live but it sure can be aggravating. For those who say “rates will overcome.” This is proof that rates never overcome. Warm Nose headquarters
 
ForsythSnow said:
Not at all. They're weak compared to what other volcanoes have produced and are located in a region that wouldn't have any drastic effect on anything. A larger eruption would have to occur or something like an Iceland eruption to have an effect.
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Gotcha just wondering cause I watched a video about valcanoes effects on the climate.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
View attachment 6998
Greenville is a great place to live but it sure can be aggravating. For those who say “rates will overcome.” This is proof that rates never overcome. Warm Nose headquarters
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Can’t wait till our Nov 1 snow, and nothing else the rest of winter!!!
Maybe KS, NB and some of those plains locations that got there earliest snow on record a day or two ago, will be there only shot and winter and they torch the rest of the winter, while we get our 09/10, and ‘77 redux in the East!?:weenie:
 
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Tarheel1 said:
Can’t wait till our Nov 1 snow, and nothing else the rest of winter!!!
Maybe KS, NB and some of those plains locations that got there earliest snow on record a day or two ago, will be there only shot and winter and they torch the rest of the winter, while we get our 09/10, and ‘77 redux in the East!?:weenie:
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hot dam
 
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Tarheel1 said:
Can’t wait till our Nov 1 snow, and nothing else the rest of winter!!!
Maybe KS, NB and some of those plains locations that got there earliest snow on record a day or two ago, will be there only shot and winter and they torch the rest of the winter, while we get our 09/10, and ‘77 redux in the East!?:weenie:
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I’ll take a February 12, 2010 redux and call it a decade..if I remember correctly, 850’s were way below freezing for most of the storm capped off with .1-.2 of ice as she pulled away. That snow was fluffy and the ratios were probably the best I’ve ever seen in these parts
 
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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
View attachment 7009

I’ll take a February 12, 2010 redux and call it a decade..if I remember correctly, 850’s were way below freezing for most of the storm capped off with .1-.2 of ice as she pulled away. That snow was fluffy and the ratios were probably the best I’ve ever seen in these parts
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I loved that snowstorm. It was very close for MBY though. We had been forecasted to receive 4-7 inches of snow. It was just cold rain for most of the night however, ruining any chances of getting a good snowpack. The cold air finally mixed in just before dawn and only an hour or so before it ended. The snow was a very wet kind. But that was the first time I'd ever build a real, rolled up, snowman (and a muddy one at that!). Before I would just grab handfuls of snow and try to stick them together to make some kind of snowball. It was still a great winter overall, and I did enjoy the snow.
 
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SimeonNC said:
Dumb question, will above average Atlantic SSTs affect the strength of winter storms or are they only a huge factor with tropical systems?
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It can enhance coastal lows moving up along the Gulf Stream if the 5H setup allows for it. I think once we start seeing consistent cold shots those anomalies will lessen or even go back closer to normal.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
View attachment 7009

I’ll take a February 12, 2010 redux and call it a decade..if I remember correctly, 850’s were way below freezing for most of the storm capped off with .1-.2 of ice as she pulled away. That snow was fluffy and the ratios were probably the best I’ve ever seen in these parts
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Me too. I haven't seen snow that heavy and for that long since then.
 
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Just for fun... the 00z FV3 showed this out at around 300 hours.
fv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_51.png
 
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