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Pattern September Somnolence

I don't really think we see a strong frontal passage in our part of the country until the 2nd week of October which is about 20 days
 
Hang Tight: Its almost here! Want be long and this is what we will all be waking up to.

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Here is the 32 day 2mT on the EURO. This pretty much encompasses the entire board except for Brent. Oh, and the 46 day doesn't look any better
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Here is the 32 day 2mT on the EURO. This pretty much encompasses the entire board except for Brent
View attachment 6484
That was issued 2 days ago, and though it is still relatively new in terms of weeklies, it was when the Euro had a warmer idea for when the other models have the front. Since then, the Euro seems to have come into agreement with the other models. In addition, keep in mind that it's an anomaly map covering all 32 days. We can have this heat now, above average heat, then go to cooler weather for a few days and heat back up and the map could look like that. It's actually frequent we warm up after fronts it seems when they are the first several ones in the fall.
 
That was issued 2 days ago, and though it is still relatively new in terms of weeklies, it was when the Euro had a warmer idea for when the other models have the front. Since then, the Euro seems to have come into agreement with the other models. In addition, keep in mind that it's an anomaly map covering all 32 days. We can have this heat now, above average heat, then go to cooler weather for a few days and heat back up and the map could look like that. It's actually frequent we warm up after fronts it seems when they are the first several ones in the fall.
No doubt we can have a break here or there but nothing for a significant time period. New weeklies come out Thursday and we will see if it has some big changes, hopefully it does
 
Even if pushing into October, and even if just a statistical probability ... smile, smile, smile, hope, hope, hope ... or something ... :oops:


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"poop" word very purposely avoided ... :eek:
 
This is today’s Euro for day 8-13 compared to what the weeklies had on Monday for the same time period. Temps will moderate as we end the month into October, how much they moderate we will see.


EB6220A9-893F-415E-B030-AD6E1156AED7.png 35255023-E564-4F98-B5B7-C082550024BC.png
 
This is today’s Euro for day 8-13 compared to what the weeklies had on Monday for the same time period. Temps will moderate as we end the month into October, how much they moderate we will see.


View attachment 6486 View attachment 6487
I'd be ok with normal. Averages are really starting to crash. 78/58 days with dew points in the 50s are a winner this time of year

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