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Tropical Major Hurricane Michael

still have power at the office, and the house seems good too since I was able to check in on the dog and give her some treats with the pet-cam. Has quieted down a bit again over here, skies have brightened too.
 
metwannabe said:
Wow look at those cooling cloud tops on the backside due to interaction with the front, starting to think some of those HRRR gust might be realized later...

goes16_ir_14L_201810111823.jpg
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Davie county southwest of the Triad just took a beating.

Screen Shot 2018-10-11 at 3.00.49 PM.png
 
HRRR is not showing the insane wind gust it was earlier, still some 50-60 mph gust but that's nothing like it was showing...
 
Webberweather53 said:
The HRRR did have a huge overmixing bias w/ one of the CAD events around here last winter but I'm not sure which one it was though, may have been this little guy in February.
View attachment 6960
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Still need to be prepared, just look at the numerous 60 mph reports out in the Triad and the problems it's causing. And those cooling cloud tops, who knows the HRRR maybe underdoing it now

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Issuing severe t-storm warnings in those counties that were not under the TS warning.... they are getting blasted out west

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
NCC033-157-VAC083-143-590-112015-
/O.NEW.KRNK.SV.W.0207.181011T1910Z-181011T2015Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
310 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

The National Weather Service in BLACKSBURG has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Rockingham County in north central North Carolina...
Caswell County in north central North Carolina...
The City of Danville in south central Virginia...
Southern Pittsylvania County in south central Virginia...
Halifax County in south central Virginia...

* Until 415 PM EDT

* At 308 PM EDT, band of showers with damaging winds were located
along a line extending from near Turbeville to near Camp Springs,
moving south at 35 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect considerable tree damage. Damage is likely to
mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.
 
metwannabe said:
Yeah I was wondering about that, I've not even seen rotation....
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Would the lack of any spinning up so far imply, or support, anything having changed in a meteorological context?

Or is it just one of those things NC lucks out on so far?

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snowlover91 said:
Surprised there have been no tornado warnings so far in NC.
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That just changed....

Tornado Warning
Tornado Warning
NCC033-157-VAC083-143-590-112030-
/O.NEW.KRNK.TO.W.0015.181011T1942Z-181011T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
342 PM EDT THU OCT 11 2018

The National Weather Service in BLACKSBURG has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Eastern Rockingham County in north central North Carolina...
Caswell County in north central North Carolina...
The City of Danville in south central Virginia...
Southeastern Pittsylvania County in south central Virginia...
Southwestern Halifax County in south central Virginia...

* Until 430 PM EDT

* At 342 PM EDT, a severe storm capable of producing one or more
tornadoes was located over Pelham, moving south at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* Locations impacted include...
Danville...
Reidsville...
Yanceyville...
Bethel...
and Jericho.
 
I'm outside on the front step smoking a cigarette and the winds are gusting good. I'm just east of Siler City, trees are being reported down there.

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