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Tropical Hurricane Jose

Webberweather53 said:
Yeah, let's not forget we also have to go thru October and any threats that emerge out of the Caribbean, which has still been largely untouched this season thus far....
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Yep, and let's just hope we do not get a single storm south of the Greater Antilles that curves northward as it approaches Jamaica, or a storm that forms down there and moves towards the Gulf. That would be trouble given that environment is extremely hot and can blow a storm up into a monster any time. After all, that is where all the strongest storms except now Irma got their worst.
 
Almost a split on the gefs, with still majority offshore but definitely a second grouping that is precariously close to the coast
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Fortunately, the deeper we get into fall the more likely any hurricane would be to curve north before reaching the US. Seems like October threats usually come from the Gulf.
 
SoutheastRidge said:
Fortunately, the deeper we get into fall the more likely any hurricane would be to curve north before reaching the US. Seems like October threats usually come from the Gulf.
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Matthew... :p

and actually South Florida's peak month is October because of storms recurving from the Western Caribbean(ala Wilma)

Most of the Gulf usually shuts down
 
Does anyone know the last time a major hurricane struck GA, the Carolinas or the northern Gulf coast in October ?
 
getting way too close to Cape Cod at 144

huge windfield maybe even back into NYC/NJ

on the 850 winds theres a streak of higher winds right over that area
 
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Jose will certainly have a big influence on the other potential TCs upstream. Euro attempting to develop a parade of tropical cyclones all following 96L's lead...
Could feasibly have 3 new TCs develop in the eastern Atlantic within the next week or so. Nuts.
ecmwf_uv850_vort_atltropics_7.png

I wouldn't be surprised if it happened either, given the passage of a modest CCKW over the far eastern Atlantic and Africa... It's like giving the dog a bone at this point.
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As if it couldn't be any more embarrassing for Dr. Ventrice...

"not a whole lot going on in the tropics"... Literally the next day 2 code reds (96L & 97L) show up...
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