What is the depth of the warm water?It also showed water temps at 85 already
What is the depth of the warm water?It also showed water temps at 85 already
A tropical wave located just off the west coast of Africa is
expected to move quickly westward during the next several days.
Some slow development is possible late this week and over the
weekend when the system is several hundred miles east of the
Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
I saw a post on twitter have to check again sorry just reposting what was posted by a meteorlogist Logan PooleWhat is the depth of the warm water?
No worries...just curious. I always try and pay attention to whether or not the warm layer is shallow. It'll be easier to turn over and cool down, especially if the storm is moving slower.I saw a post on twitter have to check again sorry just reposting what was posted by a meteorlogist Logan Poole
A tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and the
Cabo Verde Islands is expected to move quickly westward during the
next several days. Some slow development is possible over the
weekend when the system is a few hundred miles east of the Windward
Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Yeah, this is way out but it's not a good look for the SE:Though just a weak low, the 12Z Euro is in an unsafe position with regard to the CONUS: Hispaniola at hour 192 and getting underneath the right side of a big ridge. Let's see how this run ends. Will it still be able to escape?
Meanwhile, this is causing a huge flooding problem for the Dom. Rep.
Edit: At day 10 this ends up in the SE Bahamas moving slowly NW due to being trapped at that point by a big ridge to its north. There's no telling whether or not it would then go all the way to the CONUS but I wouldn't be comfy in that position. Maybe the 12Z EPS will shed some light on this.
Uhoh
Though just a weak low, the 12Z Euro is in an unsafe position with regard to the CONUS: Hispaniola at hour 192 and getting underneath the right side of a big ridge. Let's see how this run ends. Will it still be able to escape?
Meanwhile, this is causing a huge flooding problem for the Dom. Rep.
Edit: At day 10 this ends up in the SE Bahamas moving slowly NW due to being trapped at that point by a big ridge to its north. There's no telling whether or not it would then go all the way to the CONUS but I wouldn't be comfy in that position. Maybe the 12Z EPS will shed some light on this.
It couldn't look anymore different between the 2.Yeah, very ominous at H5. Looks like the difference between the Euro and the GFS is where the system is when the ridge begins to build overhead.
At 240, the 12Z EPS is centered all around the 12Z Euro's position and the mean has a similarly positioned ridge to its N and NW. So, I'm now going to see where the members go from there. This will give us a good hint at where the Euro would have gone after 240.