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Pattern April Showers

Seems like the gfs cmc are really bringing the warmth in early may while the EPS is really dragging its feet on the warmth

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Persistent, anomalous low-level westerlies and associated convergence near and just west of the International dateline has triggered yet another downwelling oceanic Kelvin Wave in the central Pacific. This large-scale regime should persist for the foreseeable future as the MJO continues to avoid the Maritime Continent like the plague. We've taken another baby step in the direction of pushing us towards an El Nino either later this year or in 2019 (obviously still a long ways to go in any case).
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I was at SunTrust Park last night.. and froze my butt off.... forgot to bring a jacket.
 
Webb probably has this, but it seems that I recall a snowstorm hitting in the NC Mountains, perhaps over towards Asheville, in early May. Anyone remember that one?? This may have been around 30 years ago give or take. Looks like this type pattern could bring something like this.
 
Went with my daughter on field trip to New Orleans zoo, it felt great. Cool breez
 
I want to put my lemon tree out on the porch. Guess I’m going to have to wait till June.
Then we will have an early freeze and you will have to bring it back in, shortest growing season ever...

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5F23F975-58A2-4F16-A1AF-38EE6FA2E9F0.png Still looking good! There is a slight JHS rainshadow, but I jackpot!:D
 
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April has by and large been cool so far for most.

This is a statistical probability and not a forecast of temps, or deviations in terms of degrees (i.e., could be just 1º). Further, this being a weekend there is no human input into the model forecast. Nevertheless, the following is a far different picture than last year, for sure, and a welcome sight for at least one who truly dreads rabid summer heat in the late spring ...

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... and the GFS is right on board during pre-truncation ... Full upload is too big, but this link will give you an idea ... https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ana...&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2018042112&fh=144


Partial upload ..
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This was a year ago ...

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April has by and large been cool so far for most.

This is a statistical probability and not a forecast of temps, or deviations in terms of degrees (i.e., could be just 1º). Further, this being a weekend there is no human input into the model forecast. Nevertheless, the following is a far different picture than last year, for sure, and a welcome sight for at least one who truly dreads rabid summer heat in the late spring ...

View attachment 5109


View attachment 5110


... and the GFS is right on board during pre-truncation ... Full upload is too big, but this link will give you an idea ... https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/ana...&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2018042112&fh=144


Partial upload ..
View attachment 5111


This was a year ago ...

View attachment 5112
Mark my word. We will pay for this in July and August !
 
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