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FXUS62 KCAE 071938
AFDCAE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
238 PM EST Sun Jan 7 2018
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
The models continue to indicate just shallow moisture in a low-
level onshore flow with more significant moisture and lift
associated with the upper trough staying south of the forecast
area over the Gulf Coast and Florida Region. Lift associated
with a northern stream system is also forecast to stay north of
the area Monday and Monday night. The guidance is in good
agreement with just low pops and little or no qpf. The chance
of freezing rain is still too low to include in the forecast.
The NAM, GFS, and ECMWF MOS keep temperatures above freezing.
Believe any precipitation will hold off until well in the
afternoon and be light with limited evaporative cooling
potential. The SREF guidance has been consistent indicating the
chance of measurable freezing rain less than 10 percent.
Followed the guidance consensus for the low temperature
forecast. Readings should finally remain above freezing for the
first time since just after Christmas. Cloudiness favored the
lower high temperature guidance.