Wintry January 8-9, 2018 Ice threat
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
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To kill the storm... Actually because you never know with freezing rain.
Theres still going to be onset ice for some areas. That alone needs this thrrad to be open. This thread was not created for a big storm but for icing issues to warn ppl about.
If things don't speed up soon, there will be no threat! Some models have it starting around noon in ATL
Every member of gefs has on set of ZR in some parts of cad region. A few bring it in by 6z Monday morning.
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I believe this will be a minor threat - if at all - at any rate, who wants ice accretion?
KGSP is forecasting a 6 hour window of sleet/ZR early AM Monday for the city of Greenville, SC
Upstate SC ALWAYS receives 2-3 winter events per year (unlike places like Birmingham/Columbia where they may go years between events - I don't expect another winter event for the Birmingham metro for 3 years LOL; but models indicate AL/TN may get snow next week!)
KGSP is forecasting a 6 hour window of sleet/ZR early AM Monday for the city of Greenville, SC
Upstate SC ALWAYS receives 2-3 winter events per year (unlike places like Birmingham/Columbia where they may go years between events - I don't expect another winter event for the Birmingham metro for 3 years LOL; but models indicate AL/TN may get snow next week!)
Y'all this threat is far from over. The global models never do well with this type of setup. Watch the mesoscale models. At least this is mostly an overnight threat(although that's the only reason a threat exists), meaning most will be home during the duration of it. I do feel this threat is confined to NE Alabama, NW Georgia, and Southeast Tennessee.
There is still a chance of freezing rain in areas like Atlanta on a Monday morning with ensemble support.
When a threat begins to dominate a pattern thread, it gets its own deal.
When a threat begins to dominate a pattern thread, it gets its own deal.
Euro wants nothing to do with any ZR except a little in AL. Dries everything up and nothing ever reaches N GA or beyond.
The euro was dissapointing! How the hell does it supress the low to Miami! Moisture now seems to be the biggest issue now! Uggh! Can't wait for my 60s next week
I had looked at the 00z EPS members last night for the ice threat. (the snowfall/mean maps don't answer our question about ice on wxbell).
Noticed a few had pretty big deals for parts of GA & a few for Upstate SC. It wasn't a lot though.
As of 00z Canadian Ensembles, a good many are still on board.
https://s17.postimg.org/lxho5ihfz/PT_panel_084.gif
Noticed a few had pretty big deals for parts of GA & a few for Upstate SC. It wasn't a lot though.
As of 00z Canadian Ensembles, a good many are still on board.
18Z NAM is slower, drier, and colder. Low is also further south.
Yes Chattanooga needs to monitor this one closely because too many times we're fooled into thinking these setups will change over to rain.
If this keeps getting more squashed this is an irreverent concern but this seems to have a look that could produce a lot of freezing drizzle that maybe the models are not really printing out?