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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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How bad could it potentially get in Atlanta, if it pushes on across FL and up the west coast? Wouldn't it degrade to just TS by the time it went that far inland?
 
ForsythSnow said:
Hit just a little east of 12Z. I feel that OTS is down to 5 percent at this point. Have to see, but the models have wobbled west.
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I thought there was a small chance that run. I got excited at a possible OTS option again. :(
 
pcbjr said:
Maybe I'm brain dead (and you don't need to agree with me) but what west trend are folks talking about (?) - 18Z sure looks east from this end. What am I missing?
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There isn't a west trend, it may go slightly further west vs it's previous runs. Margin of errors, give or take. Either way, FL, GA, SC and NC will see impacts from Irma. The coasts from east FL to SC will see the greatest impacts.
 
Kinda maybe undergoing or gone through a half hearted ERC? The inner eyewall looks like it collapsed on the goes 16 sat. MIMIC and radar have the look also. If it is, the sat loop right now is a first for me in such detail. Apologize if it's been mentioned already (or I'm wrongo_O) in the "hurricane" of posts :weenie:

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimtc/2017_11L/web/displayGifsBy12hr_08.html

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ram...mber_of_images_to_display=40&loop_speed_ms=80

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=JUA-N0Q-1-48
 
pcbjr said:
Maybe I'm brain dead (and you don't need to agree with me) but what west trend are folks talking about (?) - 18Z sure looks east from this end. What am I missing?
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Maybe im wrong about the west thing. So many models run to go.;)
 
Pretty much noise on 18z IMO Crazy how Irma traverses the to the FL Straits. Path of almost perfect least resistance.
 
pcbjr said:
Maybe I'm brain dead (and you don't need to agree with me) but what west trend are folks talking about (?) - 18Z sure looks east from this end. What am I missing?
Click to expand...
For the last 12 or so runs minus a couple the gfs has been in the same general vicinity

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