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Pattern Ah-choo April Discussion

metwannabe said:
So did I miss anything today?

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Yes , but don't worry we have backup servers incase the incoming heatwave melts the current one. You will still be able to go back and read today's thread......


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I'm looking forward to the cool down Sunday into Monday . It was hot as hell today . I have the house temp set to 65 and my office at work 60 ( don't pay the bill there lol)

I'm ready for fall ...


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Storm5 said:
I'm looking forward to the cool down Sunday into Monday . It was hot as hell today . I have the house temp set to 65 and my office at work 60 ( don't pay the bill there lol)

I'm ready for fall ...


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But you said it was nice spring weather

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Good luck to the NWS and local weather people forecasting the location of the backdoor front this weekend

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SD said:
Good luck to the NWS and local weather people forecasting the location of the backdoor front this weekend

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I'd say it'll be well to the south on Sunday, running from Atlanta to Augusta and on eastward to near Orangeburg. Basing this on the 6z 84 hour NAM and experience that says wedge fronts get farther south than most models forecast. Even the GFS now says that the normal CAD areas of NC and SC will be wedged in by 2pm EDT Sunday. Any severe storms Sunday will be well to the south.
 
SD said:
Good luck to the NWS and local weather people forecasting the location of the backdoor front this weekend

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Just use a Canadian / NAM blend!! They really do great on the CAD forecasting !
 
SD said:
But you said it was nice spring weather

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Easy , nice spring weather does not mean it's not hot . I was just making a point that the temps tomorrow and Saturday are not unheard of . Just bringing the " heatwave " back to reality


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I hope the wedge comes in strong Sunday , it'll be nice to have a short break from the 90s!
 
Storm5 said:
Easy , nice spring weather does not mean it's not hot . I was just making a point that the temps tomorrow and Saturday are not unheard of . Just bringing the " heatwave " back to reality


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Again, we must differ on our definitions. A heatwave in the summer for me is days of 95-100 but that isn't unheard of either....
 
Tarheel1 said:
Just use a Canadian / NAM blend!! They really do great on the CAD forecasting !
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JHS said:
I'd say it'll be well to the south on Sunday, running from Atlanta to Augusta and on eastward to near Orangeburg. Basing this on the 6z 84 hour NAM and experience that says wedge fronts get farther south than most models forecast. Even the GFS now says that the normal CAD areas of NC and SC will be wedged in by 2pm EDT Sunday. Any severe storms Sunday will be well to the south.
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namconus_T2m_seus_45.png
 
SD said:
namconus_T2m_seus_45.png
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I'd bet it'll be closer to the NC SC border than that map shows, if not a little way into SC. If we are going to see severe weather this weekend SAT will be the day, since the CAD front will be well south on Sunday. Sat could actually be rough somewhere over the Carolinas though as this front comes south. A 25-30 degree temp gradient is nothing to sneeze at.
 
SD said:
But you said it was nice spring weather

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I find that Charlie would have been a great politician. He has this great ability to change his thoughts like the weather around him


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Any decent convection on Friday should help propel the wedge boundary southward along the outflow boundary. I would favor south as well but I am hoping it sets up right over MBY so I can get a little rain on Saturday
 
SD said:
Any decent convection on Friday should help propel the wedge boundary southward along the outflow boundary. I would favor south as well but I am hoping it sets up right over MBY so I can get a little rain on Saturday
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We better get it while the gettin is good.... after this weekend it's looking back to business as usual unfortunately
 
SD said:
Again, we must differ on our definitions. A heatwave in the summer for me is days of 95-100 but that isn't unheard of either....
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We've Been on weather boards a long time and I NEVER remember a time so many people bitched about 80s in late April . It's unreal


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