Wintry Winters Last Stand / March 11th-13th Winter Storm

[Brick Tamland]

You have had yours....time to share

You know it's going to end up further NW than what the models show.

 

[SD]

You know it's going to end up further NW than what the models show.

I'm not sure man....only about 42 hrs to go....we are going to need to see it with this run if any NW trending is going to happen IMO

 

[Metwannabe]

This run of the 4k is actually a little more impressive across NC vs 6z...not as good as 0z

You're absolutely right much improved actually, I was actually thinking as far as the jackpot zone it's SC but no it's an improvement and interesting b/c the trend was south.

 

[farleydawg792]

Warmer too, but I guess that option is on the table. UKMET, GGEM, Euro.

Seriously...I'm in Athens...go 15 miles east and boom! Waiting game


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[Metwannabe]

You know it's going to end up further NW than what the models show.

I've decided I'll not mention this so called trend again

 

[Flo]

Is this thing legit for CAE or will the Euro kill our dreams?

 

[Metwannabe]

Gonna be just about in the RGEM range this run, it has done well at times.....

 

[$alt]

The low position still isn't great for CAE and I'm pretty much throwing that NAM out for the area. Temps will screw it all.

 

[Brick Tamland]

I'm not sure man....only about 42 hrs to go....we are going to need to see it with this run if any NW trending is going to happen IMO

It doesn't matter, it will end up further NW than what the models show on the day it starts snowing with the highest totals.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Why does it show so much snow in sc and hardly none in ga ? Wedge doesnt make it this far west?

 

[Metwannabe]

Despite the s/w being stronger this run, the NAM gives a nod to the global models in showing continued suppression of this first wave... The slightly delayed timing is to blame and allows for the SE CAN vortex to more effectively squash our storm. NAM may not be done trending south & more suppressed...

Yep southward trend still ongoing no doubt, at least so far it hasn't suppressed it to oblivion

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

It doesn't matter, it will end up further NW than what the models show on the day it starts snowing with the highest totals.

Care to give us a solid reason this ends up NW besides "99% of the time storms trend NW?"

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Why does it show so much snow in sc and hardly none in ga ? Wedge doesnt make it this far west?

I'm thinking the warm nose, or it bombs out when it gets to SC.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Why does it show so much snow in sc and hardly none in ga ? Wedge doesnt make it this far west?

The dreaded warm nose. I am certain it will verify.

 

[mrdaddyman]

Despite the s/w being stronger this run, the NAM gives a nod to the global models in showing continued suppression of this first wave... The slightly delayed timing is to blame and allows for the SE CAN vortex to more effectively squash our storm. NAM may not be done trending south & more suppressed...

If it keeps getting more and more suppressed would this by chance somehow help us with the 2nd storm?

 

[Storm5]

Model picking time I see


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[NorthGaWinter4]

The dreaded warm nose. I am certain it will verify.

You're right. Every model is showing it too. It's better than it showing up 12 hours before the event.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

The dreaded warm nose. I am certain it will verify.

Its always something that screws us.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Model picking time I see


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Have you decided where you are going ?

 

[NorthBamaWeather]

This screams elevations at 1200'+ Lookout Mountain is setting pretty ATM