I'm thinking about the same as well as the best case scenario. The best thing about this event is the fact is it's starting overnight rather than during the day. I think this allows us the best chance to maximize our opportunity to accumulate snow. I know every year we have this debate about ground temps and whether it's too warm or not for snow to accumulate. The only problem is it's not so black and white to figure out. We've had cases where if the precip. rates were heavy enough it overcame a warm ground (ex: March 1, 2009) and we've had cases where even heavy precip couldn't overcome a warm ground (ex: March 2, 2010). It's a storm by storm case and I don't think we should blindly apply what happens in one storm from yesteryear to what's happening now until it happens. It's a complicated forecast all the way to gametime. I don't blame a lot of local mets/NWS offices not wanting to forecast amounts. They'll be damned if they do, damned if they don't either way.
