0Z UKMET shifted a bit E with recurve at 69.6W (vs 71.9W on 12Z) meaning passing by closer to Bermuda:
TROPICAL STORM ERIN ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N 51.9W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052025
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 15.08.2025 0 17.1N 51.9W 1004 34
1200UTC 15.08.2025 12 18.0N 55.1W 1003 37
0000UTC 16.08.2025 24 19.5N 58.1W 1001 39
1200UTC 16.08.2025 36 20.3N 61.6W 999 41
0000UTC 17.08.2025 48 20.8N 64.4W 996 40
1200UTC 17.08.2025 60 21.4N 66.5W 992 46
0000UTC 18.08.2025 72 22.5N 67.7W 989 48
1200UTC 18.08.2025 84 24.1N 68.7W 987 50
0000UTC 19.08.2025 96 25.9N 69.2W 985 52
1200UTC 19.08.2025 108 27.5N 69.4W 983 57
0000UTC 20.08.2025 120 29.4N 69.6W 979 60
1200UTC 20.08.2025 132 31.7N 68.7W 971 64
0000UTC 21.08.2025 144 33.8N 67.2W 964 70
1200UTC 21.08.2025 156 35.8N 64.0W 960 73
0000UTC 22.08.2025 168 37.6N 59.0W 954 75
TROPICAL STORM ERIN ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N 51.9W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052025
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
0000UTC 15.08.2025 0 17.1N 51.9W 1004 34
1200UTC 15.08.2025 12 18.0N 55.1W 1003 37
0000UTC 16.08.2025 24 19.5N 58.1W 1001 39
1200UTC 16.08.2025 36 20.3N 61.6W 999 41
0000UTC 17.08.2025 48 20.8N 64.4W 996 40
1200UTC 17.08.2025 60 21.4N 66.5W 992 46
0000UTC 18.08.2025 72 22.5N 67.7W 989 48
1200UTC 18.08.2025 84 24.1N 68.7W 987 50
0000UTC 19.08.2025 96 25.9N 69.2W 985 52
1200UTC 19.08.2025 108 27.5N 69.4W 983 57
0000UTC 20.08.2025 120 29.4N 69.6W 979 60
1200UTC 20.08.2025 132 31.7N 68.7W 971 64
0000UTC 21.08.2025 144 33.8N 67.2W 964 70
1200UTC 21.08.2025 156 35.8N 64.0W 960 73
0000UTC 22.08.2025 168 37.6N 59.0W 954 75