Definetly the biggest shift I've seen.
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Tropical TS Erin
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Henry2326
Member
GFS hasn't caught up yet.
Euro AI 3 run change. Not as big but it was already close enough and still shifted west.
12z EPS so far
Might have 1-2 actual landfalls on the EPS and about 5 very close calls. This definitely got more interesting
Henry2326
Member
In more recent memory....Helene hit South GA at 100 mph. Valdosta GA, my family is there, was demolished. It was supposed to go up the west side of the state to Atlanta. It goes the east side of the state and destroys Augusta, then takes out NC.
No, respectfully disagree, it hasn't gotten any better.
Henry2326
Member
Dang, look at the spread. Not even close to a general idea.
Wonder if that ridge over the US/Can would have been able to flex more without that little trough embedded in the middle over MN/WI, and make it even harder for her to turn north. Atlantic ridge flex/bridge with CONUS ridge had more to do with the western shift this run, but could be something to watch
GeorgiaGirl
Member
If that Euro run were to verify, you could actually prob argue for hurricane warnings on the OBX. Was thinking so privately, and just saw a met on storm2k say there'd probably be hurricane force gusts there with this track.
Def a yikes, and I will say the GFS seems a bit out to lunch for now with how low Erin is tracking. She's probably just a bit above 16N.
Def a yikes, and I will say the GFS seems a bit out to lunch for now with how low Erin is tracking. She's probably just a bit above 16N.
Henry2326
Member
To your point, 4 days ago Euro AI published this 8/9 00z.
Edit: just read the post from Webb. This also demonstrates what he is saying.
