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Tropical Tropical Storm Gabrielle

ForsythSnow

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Not to detract from Dorian, but this just formed off Africa.

1. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
located just south of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system has become
better organized since yesterday, and environmental conditions
appear conducive for additional development during the next several
days. A tropical depression is likely to form by the middle of the
week while the system moves generally northwestward across the
eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Heavy rainfall is possible over
portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the next couple
of days, and interests on those islands should monitor the progress
of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
 
A broad area of low pressure centered near the Cabo Verde Islands is
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. This system is
showing signs of becoming better organized, and environmental
conditions appear conducive for additional development during the
next several days. A tropical depression is likely to form by the
middle of the week while the system moves generally northwestward
across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Heavy rainfall is
possible over portions of the southern Cabo Verde Islands during the
next day or so, and interests on those islands should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Now up to 60/70.
 
An area of low pressure located about 100 miles west-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms. This system is gradually becoming better organized,
and environmental conditions appear conducive for additional
development during the next several days. A tropical depression is
likely to form by the middle of the week while the system moves
generally northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the southern Cabo Verde
Islands during the next day or two, and interests on those islands
should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
 
With the euro developing it and taking it just east of Bermuda..it bares watching some.
 
80/80 chances of development with this one now.

Recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that the low
pressure system located about 150 miles west-southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands has become better defined. Shower and thunderstorm
activity is beginning to show signs of organization, and
environmental conditions appear conducive for a tropical depression
to form during the next day or so
while the system moves generally
northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean
. Locally
heavy rainfall will be possible over the Cabo Verde Islands through
Tuesday.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
 
Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that an elongated area
of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde
Islands has become better defined since yesterday. Although this
system is currently producing limited showers and thunderstorms, a
tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or so
while the system moves generally northwestward across the eastern
tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 
An elongated area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles
west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Although this system is currently
producing limited showers and thunderstorms, a tropical depression
is expected to form during the next day or so while the system moves
generally northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 
Up to 90/90 odds. Should have something later today.

Recent satellite-derived surface winds indicate that the low
pressure area located a few hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde
Islands is becoming better defined. Associated thunderstorm

activity has been increasing and showing signs of organization, and
a tropical depression is expected to form later today while the
system moves generally northwestward across the eastern tropical
Atlantic Ocean.


* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the
Cabo Verde Islands continues to become better defined. The
associated thunderstorm activity has been increasing, and a tropical
depression is expected to form later today while the system moves
generally northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles west of the Cabo
Verde Islands continues to exhibit a broad circulation. Any
significant increase in thunderstorms would contribute to the
formation of a tropical depression.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 
Just got designated as Tropical Depression 8.

Tropical Depression Eight Advisory 1:

...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

LOCATION: 19.0N 32.3W
ABOUT 585 MI WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT: NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1006 MB


Current Forecast Track/Intensity:
310B83B1-3A9E-47AC-9DA9-AE9D64D47356.png
12H: 19.7N 33.2W 40 MPH
24H: 20.4N 34.0W 45 MPH
36H: 21.4N 34.9W 50 MPH
48H: 22.4N 35.8W 50 MPH
72H: 26.2N 38.5W 50 MPH
96H: 30.0N 41.5W 50 MPH
120H: 34.0N 45.5W 50 MPH
 
Last edited:
We are flying through the names now

AL, 08, 2019090400, , BEST, 0, 195N, 324W, 35, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 60, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 160, 50, 45, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, GABRIELLE, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 016,
 
NHC still sticking with this being a Depression per latest advisory.

Tropical Depression Eight Advisory 2:

...DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM ON
WEDNESDAY...


LOCATION: 19.1N 32.8W
ABOUT 615 MI WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT: NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1006 MB

Track/Intensity Forecast:
9A3B94A7-3335-4C5B-87AF-76C8B8C908B2.png
12H: 19.7N 33.6W 40 MPH
24H: 20.6N 34.6W 45 MPH
36H: 21.6N 35.6W 50 MPH
48H: 23.0N 36.6W 60 MPH
72H: 27.1N 39.6W 60 MPH
96H: 31.7N 43.1W 60 MPH
120H: 35.4N 46.1W 60 MPH
 
Last edited:
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 33.6W
ABOUT 680 MI...1090 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1330 MI...2140 KM SSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
Now it's Gabrielle.
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.5N 33.8W
ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1275 MI...2050 KM SSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
Gabrielle now forecast to become a hurricane by the end of the next 5 days.

Tropical Storm Gabrielle Advisory 5:

...GABRIELLE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER EASTERN ATLANTIC...

LOCATION: 21.0N 34.0W
ABOUT 740 MI WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1245 MI SSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT: NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1002 MB

Track/Intensity Forecast:
C6F6BC69-7114-4D72-A910-3497D0EED3BE.png
12H: 21.7N 34.6W 60 MPH
24H: 22.8N 35.8W 60 MPH
36H: 24.2N 37.4W 50 MPH
48H: 26.1N 39.1W 50 MPH
72H: 30.0N 43.2W 60 MPH
96H: 33.0N 47.5W 65 MPH
120H: 36.5N 48.5W 75 MPH
 
Tropical Storm Gabrielle is expected to hold steady for the next few days before possibly strengthening into a category 1 Hurricane this weekend.

Tropical Storm Gabrielle Advisory 6:

...GABRIELLE MAINTAINS ITS INTENSITY WHILE MOVING NORTHWEST
OVER OPEN WATERS...


LOCATION: 21.5N 34.4W
ABOUT 780 MI WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1220 MI SSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT: NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 7 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 1002 MB

Track/Intensity Forecast:
ED613800-DD6B-445D-BB73-5CD6321D39D4.png
12H: 22.4N 35.2W 50 MPH
24H: 23.7N 36.6W 50 MPH
36H: 25.4N 38.3W 50 MPH
48H: 27.3N 40.2W 50 MPH
72H: 30.8N 44.6W 65 MPH
96H: 34.0N 48.0W 75 MPH
120H: 37.5N 48.0W 75 MPH
 
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