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Tropical TD9

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...FORECAST TO RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

4:00 AM CDT Wed Oct 07
Location: 22.0°N 94.1°W
Moving: ENE at 8 mph
Min pressure: 1004 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
 
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from the Discussion

the NHC
intensity forecast is being raised accordingly, now showing Isaias
reaching a peak intensity of 95 kt in 48 h while it is over the
central Gulf.
 
Overnight hurricane models were all pretty concerning imo HAFS A-B both dropped the idea of weakening as much leading into landfall and HWRF and HMON as well. All of these models drop pressure into upper 940s with minor weakening at landfall into lower to mid 950s.
 
hky1894 said:
Overnight hurricane models were all pretty concerning imo HAFS A-B both dropped the idea of weakening as much leading into landfall and HWRF and HMON as well. All of these models drop pressure into upper 940s with minor weakening at landfall into lower to mid 950s.
Click to expand...
The variable of Wind Shear will be of major importance here, it's pretty assured there will be some but can't be sure just how much it will impact the growth of this storm yet and if it's on the lesser side or storm moves faster it could overperform.
 
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Way to early read of HWRF 00z run along with the hurricane itself that's some strong cells to west in East AL/West GA
 
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