Pattern Sweatember

[NCSNOW]

The Mighty CFS has it Bone dry from I40 south from Arizona to the Carolina Coast the next 30 days. A paltry 1-2 inch max if your lucky. As suspected , BN Precip will be the theme through Fall/early winter. Fits the Background state of the pattern being forecasted.

 

[blueheronNC]

So much for today’s ULL. It’s not going to rain in central NC. At all. WRAL Weather Alert Day!

 

[SD]

What a bust even at 6/12 hrs by some models .Thankfully this wasn't a snow event

 

[RBR71]

What a bust even at 6/12 hrs by some model. Thankfully this wasn't a snow event

.3 in last 31 days and I got put under a FW for overnight showers totally .45. Gonna be fun tracking winter events this year

 

[SD]

The best part is we haven't hit the hottest part of this pattern is we haven't hit the hottest part unless we get a -nao

 

[BullCityWx]

Crazy

 

[RBR71]

Crazy

View attachment 174916

Yep and no offense but they even got the current MPD that was just issued a few hours ago wrong.

 

[Carolina Fever]

Man, I sure hope we don't have any flooding from all this rain today. They really nailed the forecast for this one.

 

[SD]

Yep and no offense but they even got the current MPD that was just issued a few hours ago wrong.
View attachment 174917

Probably needed this to either stack quicker and jerk left or no real discernible low at all. Where we ended up was obviously worst case for anyone wanting rain

 

[GaWx]

Man, I sure hope we don't have any flooding from all this rain today. They really nailed the forecast for this one.

Brick?

 

[mrdaddyman]

What a bust even at 6/12 hrs by some models .Thankfully this wasn't a snow event

Models just getting us primed and ready for winter.

 

[SD]

Can we please stop this deep NE flow coastal trough pattern. It's going to ruin the rain chances days 5-10 too

 

[NCSNOW]

Have to admit the wx outside is about as Fabolous as it can get. Sunny, NE Breeze, sitting in the low 70's. Course I'm sitting on couple hundred lbs of winter rye seed. Probably will be for another week or two, before I can cast onto the rock hard ground.

 

[iGRXY]

It's a hot 67 degrees here with clouds and a breeze. Feels great outside

 

[Rain Cold]

Really nice midwinter's day here in the foothills. Milky sunshine with temps in the mid-70s. Just perfect.

 

[SASQUATCH]

I feel a burn ban for my area coming real soon.

 

[rusrius]

I feel a burn ban for my area coming real soon.

You and me both. 4 weeks without a drop and its been steady breezy everyday.

 

[SD]

Really nice midwinter's day here in the foothills. Milky sunshine with temps in the mid-70s. Just perfect.

First time its ever been below normal

 

[Tarheel1]

More Sweatember after this weekend here! Can’t shake the 80s
I believe the longer the heat hangs on , the better winter we will have! As the cold air builds and nights get longer, it’ll come! ️

 

[Tarheel1]

More Sweatember after this weekend here! Can’t shake the 80s
I believe the longer the heat hangs on , the better winter we will have! As the cold air builds and nights get longer, it’ll come! ️

 

[jackendrickwx]

unfathomably mundane

 

[SASQUATCH]

If this were to happen, it should kick the blob out to sea:

 

[weather bubba]

Other than a brief warmup this weekend with highs approaching 90 tomorrow and Saturday, the weather pattern is about as normal as normal can be climatologically speaking for KRDU with little chance of precipitation. Watching weather like this is akin to pressing a snooze button on your alarm to get more sleep. At least it feels better outside than a late summer heatwave.

 

[GaWx]

Other than a brief warmup this weekend with highs approaching 90 on Saturday, the weather pattern is about as normal as normal can be climatologically speaking for KRDU with little chance of precipitation. Watching weather like this is akin to pressing a snooze button on your alarm to get more sleep. At least it feels better outside than a late summer heatwave.

Yeah, with the alternative usually including actual “sweatember” sultry conditions, I’ll happy with this San Diegoish alternative and consider it a pretty rare gift.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

I wish we could have similar weather that we had in Late September 2001. Some areas in North Georgia were in the upper 30s. But I don't even see temps much below 60 at night through the end of the month !

 

[Avalanche]

Please rain!!

 

[Noles1812]

Please rain!!

We are in a bad drought down here near Destin Fla. We haven't had a drop since mid Aug. Its our dry season but its drier then normal.

 

[jackendrickwx]

I'm sorry i insulted you Mr Euro now don't do this the week of the Helene anniversary

 

[SASQUATCH]

I'm sorry i insulted you Mr Euro now don't do this the week of the Helene anniversary
View attachment 174940

View attachment 174941

Dang, that's got a severe look to it.

 

[SD]

88 today in the carolina desert

Update 89

 

[NoSnowATL]

Please rain!!

That doesn’t happen anymore.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

That doesn’t happen anymore.

We had a few sprinkles today.

 

[NoSnowATL]

We had a few sprinkles today.

We can’t even get dark clouds. Hopefully the pattern changes soon.

 

[jrips27]

Hello

 

[jackendrickwx]

new vs old
whoops



EPS took a big step back too in case you were wondering

 

[Brent]

new vs old
whoops
View attachment 174949


EPS took a big step back too in case you were wondering

I've been skeptical because the forecasts are still pretty warm here and well a cutoff over Arkansas is the complete opposite of warm here

Like if this was January the snow plows would be getting ready

 

[Rain Cold]

new vs old
whoops
View attachment 174949


EPS took a big step back too in case you were wondering

Will probably turn into a transient, deamplifying mid-level wave. But at least for now, almost all the models have it, and it's been nice to look at.

 

[AJ1013]

Hasn’t been below 70F since May 4th here.


I’m tired boss…

 

[SASQUATCH]

I'm here to report that I received 7/100ths of an inch of rain in my noon time hour.

 

[SD]

93