The idea that it would all go at once has already been debunked as sensationalism as that would be extremely unlikely. As @Ollie Williams said, "if there is a landslide, it would crumble, which wouldn’t be as big a deal."
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern Swamptember 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
The idea that it would all go at once has already been debunked as sensationalism as that would be extremely unlikely. As @Ollie Williams said, "if there is a landslide, it would crumble, which wouldn’t be as big a deal."
Downeastnc
Member
Little line of showers popped up kind of a late sea breeze I guess...
bigstick10
Member
So tired of this year after year, come on Arthur Blank.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Gonna hope and pray this is overdone…
It's a pretty deep ESE to SE flow for your guys for a while today and tomorrow. Multiple inches of rain seem like a good bet but that hrrr run might be overdone.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
No kidding. It's almost a flow we would see with a closed or strong negative tilt flow. I just looked at the euro and it's got some 5+ totals in the mountains so that hrrr run might not be far off
I'm interested to see where/if a band of heavy rain sets up across Central NC tomorrow. The setup seems to favor one across the sandhills into the central piedmont but the euro/eps most cams are relatively dry tomorrow into early Wednesday
72/68 full cloud deck and a nice breeze. Feels pretty solid out
GFS more bullish on temp drop now. Daytime fropa pls
Damn talk about the Gfs squashing any south east ridge over the coming few weeks .. pretty drastic change
There are pros and cons to this
Pros: drastic cooling of day to day temps, some added rainfall from frontal passages, these large troughs are probably going to save us from any type of tropical system while they are still around
Cons: fros pool closes
I trust this GOA trough big western/central us ridge pattern about 0% but we could sneak out with a good 10-14 day period of normal to below.
Yeah the 6z nam is at least a low end tor/wind threat. If we realize a good amount of sun Wednesday and are in the mid to upper 80s things might heat up a bit as far as the severe threat goes
Solid severe threat on the NAM 
Nam is slow with the front and even slower with the 850/700mb troughs. We get stuck in clouds/light showers Thursday
