Pattern Swamptember 2021

[SD]

Why is it when we want to improve the Atlantic the pacific turns into a turd View attachment 90889
At least there’s this View attachment 90890

It's really amazing how at D10 you almost always have some level of ridge in the west then as you move into days 6/7/8 it flattens. The 12z gfs didn't disappoint

 

[SD]

Lol who had 9/29 in the mountain snow thread

 

[SD]

This gfs run



Posting these so we can look back and laugh

 

[wxdaniel]

Laugh all you want, but gfs hasn't backed down at 300hrs. Yesterday it was showing at 340+. It also handled Ida pretty well too.

 

[smast16]

But it's not mega or significant so it doesn't count

And how can that include Wake Co., they got rain last week so that can't be right

I swear the drought monitor is ----. I lost all faith in it after the 2019 "Flash Drought".

I'm editing to reflect that the different levels of indication have nothing to do with soil moisture or rainfall deficits, and very very little to do with Flora or Fauna. it's 80% derived from Socioeconomic impacts

So it's just a crappy indicator.

 

[weatherfide]

This gfs run
View attachment 90896
View attachment 90897

Posting these so we can look back and laugh

Time to crank up the fireplace! I need more seasoned wood. I better get busy taking down the dead green ash tree in my backyard. Should be good firewood.

 

[SD]

I swear the drought monitor is ----. I lost all faith in it after the 2019 "Flash Drought".

Yeah the included factors make it slow to move and react in both directions

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Only a matter of time before we get a deep trough over us with how much SE Canada ridging there has been

 

[Myfrotho704_]

is that last year I smell

 

[smast16]

Yeah the included factors make it slow to move and react in both directions

I edited my post to reflect that and show the indicators.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Lol who had 9/29 in the mountain snow thread
View attachment 90895

SOUND THE WEENIE ALARMS BOYS ? ?

 

[cd2play]

SOUND THE WEENIE ALARMS BOYS ? ?

Technical devices does not support.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

This gfs run
View attachment 90896
View attachment 90897

Posting these so we can look back and laugh

She’s gorgeous though … are there even ensembles to support anything like this ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The cold rain printer at H5 is back

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

The cold rain printer at H5 is back View attachment 90901View attachment 90902

Clockwork

 

[LickWx]

The cold rain printer at H5 is back View attachment 90901View attachment 90902

The pattern that has not quit for what’s about to be a year . Great . We all finna be miserable

 

[Myfrotho704_]

The pattern that has not quit for what’s about to be a year . Great . We all finna be miserable

Yeah because as we get into winter that pattern sucks for snow and is super marginal, that -WPO/Aleutian ridge dumps all the cold into Alaska and leaves us with super marginal stuff under our block ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This has trended into a solid cool shot, thank the SE can ridge for that

 

[Myfrotho704_]

-NAO printer go brrr

 

[Mitch West]

Looks like we have an East coast clearing (besides Florida) cold front on the latest Euro. GFS showing the same for late next week into next weekend. Dry air remains in place the remainder of the run with a reinforcing shot towards the end. We are getting there, folks.