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Pattern Swamptember 2021

Starting to get to that time of year where we can pump out rain with ridges off to our east/SERs with high dews/high PWATs
Indeed the 0z Euro was a good example of how shifting the ridge center offshore takes rain chances from 0 to near 100 especially with the upper level energy moving in from the Atlantic and potentially some out of the gulf.
 
Flash Flood Warning
NCC183-091830-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FF.W.0020.210909T1521Z-210909T1830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
1121 AM EDT Thu Sep 9 2021

The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Wake County in central North Carolina...

* Until 230 PM EDT.

* At 1121 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
producing flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Raleigh, Cary, Garner, RDU International, Apex, Morrisville,
Knightdale, William B Umstead State Park, Lake Wheeler, Research
Triangle and Carpenter.
 
Guaranteed shifted too Far East. Y’all already know that’s not how we roll. It will come back west !
Well you might want it shifted west but most people wouldn't since it may trap the energy in the Atlantic near the Bahamas and raise the tropical potential. The better option is to just progress that through and not have to deal with the tropics
 
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